CONCACAF Nations League · Play-In Final 
Nicaragua vs Montserrat: prediction, stats and form
CONCACAF Nations League, Wednesday 18 November. The PreviaXI model gives Nicaragua 24%, the draw 19% and Montserrat 57%. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Nicaragua24% Draw19% Montserrat57%
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.27 – 2.06
- Double chance
- Either team wins81%Home win or draw 43% · Draw or away win 76%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 61%Over 1.5: 84% · Over 3.5: 43%
- Both teams score
- 57%
- Clean sheet
- 13% – 28%Nicaragua–Montserrat
- Half-time result
- 2 · 43%1 22% · X 35%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 36%X/2 17% · 1/1 14%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Montserrat
- Expected goals favour Montserrat: 1.27 – 2.06.
Main uncertainty: the other two results still add up to 43%, led by Nicaragua win at 24%.
Built only from the model numbers above. For information; not a certainty.
Match facts
Last matches · Nicaragua
- W Sat 14 Nov A Montserrat 2-1
- L Mon 5 Oct H Dominican Republic 1-2
- L Fri 2 Oct H Costa Rica 0-3
- L Mon 28 Sept A Curaçao 1-6
- L Fri 25 Sept A Dominican Republic 2-3
- W Tue 15 Oct H French Guyana 3-2
Last matches · Montserrat
- L Sat 14 Nov H Nicaragua 1-2
- W Tue 6 Oct H Turks and Caicos Islands 4-1
- W Thu 1 Oct A British Virgin Islands 2-0
- W Sat 26 Sept H British Virgin Islands 3-0
- W Wed 23 Sept A Turks and Caicos Islands 2-0
- L Mon 18 Nov A El Salvador 0-1
Recent record
| · | Nicaragua | Montserrat |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 9 | 10 |
| Scored | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Conceded | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Points per game | 1.11 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 67% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 11% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 22% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Nicaragua (H) | Montserrat (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 4 | 5 |
| Scored | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Conceded | 2.3 | 0.6 |
| Points per game | 0.75 | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 75% | 0% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 60% |
| Failed to score | 50% | 40% |
Last meetings
- 2026Montserrat 1-2 Nicaragua
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.