Major League Soccer · Matchday 34 
New York Red Bulls vs Atlanta United FC: prediction, stats and form
Major League Soccer, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives New York Red Bulls 47%, the draw 24% and Atlanta United FC 29%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
New York Red Bulls47%Draw24%Atlanta United FC29%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.83 – 1.39
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 71% · X2 53%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 62%Over 1.5: 84% · Over 3.5: 40%
- Both teams score
- 63%
- Clean sheet
- 25% – 16%New York Red Bulls–Atlanta United FC
- Half-time result
- 1 · 37%X 37% · 2 26%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 29%2/2 17% · X/1 15%
- Expected corners
- 10.16.0 – 4.1 · Over 9.5: 54%
- Expected cards
- 4.02.0 – 2.0 · Over 3.5: 56%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-27%
- 1-07%
- 2-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards New York Red Bulls
- Power ratings: New York Red Bulls -0.14 goals per game (21st of 30 in Major League Soccer), Atlanta United FC -0.18 (23rd).
- New York Red Bulls's attack (1.60 goals per game) meets Atlanta United FC's defence (1.58 conceded per game).
- Atlanta United FC's attack (1.40) meets New York Red Bulls's defence (1.74).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 27% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.83 – 1.39 goals: New York Red Bulls 47%, draw 24%, Atlanta United FC 29%.
Match facts
Last matches · New York Red Bulls
- L Sun 1 Nov A Nashville SC 2-3
- L Wed 28 Oct A New England Revolution 2-3
- W Sat 24 Oct H Inter Miami 2-0
- L Sat 17 Oct H Toronto FC 0-2
- L Wed 14 Oct A DC United 1-2
- W Sat 10 Oct H San Diego 4-1
Last matches · Atlanta United FC
- W Sun 1 Nov H Toronto FC 3-1
- L Wed 28 Oct A New York City FC 1-2
- L Sat 24 Oct H Chicago Fire 2-3
- L Sat 17 Oct H Inter Miami 1-3
- W Wed 14 Oct A CF Montreal 3-0
- L Sat 10 Oct H FC Cincinnati 1-3
Last 10 matches
| · | New York Red Bulls | Atlanta United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | New York Red Bulls (H) | Atlanta United FC (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/30 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | -17 | 39 |
| 27/30 | Atlanta United FC | 33 | -14 | 33 |
Last meetings
- 2026Atlanta United FC 2-1 New York Red Bulls
- 2025New York Red Bulls 2-0 Atlanta United FC
- 2025Atlanta United FC 0-0 New York Red Bulls
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.