Serie A · Matchday 11 
Napoli vs Lazio: prediction, stats and form
Serie A, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Napoli 47%, the draw 26% and Lazio 27%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Napoli47%Draw26%Lazio27%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.41 – 1.00
- Double chance
- 12 · 74%1X 73% · X2 53%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 43%Over 1.5: 69% · Over 3.5: 22%
- Both teams score
- 47%
- Clean sheet
- 37% – 24%Napoli–Lazio
- Half-time result
- X · 44%1 34% · 2 22%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 28%X/1 17% · X/X 17%
- Expected corners
- 8.55.6 – 2.9 · Over 9.5: 35%
- Expected cards
- 3.81.6 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 54%
- Most likely scores
- 1-013%
- 1-112%
- 0-110%
- 2-19%
- 2-09%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Napoli
- Power ratings: Napoli +0.41 goals per game (5th of 20 in Serie A), Lazio +0.12 (8th).
- Napoli's attack (1.49 goals per game) meets Lazio's defence (1.20 conceded per game).
- Lazio's attack (1.32) meets Napoli's defence (1.08).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 13% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.41 – 1.00 goals: Napoli 47%, draw 26%, Lazio 27%.
Match facts
Last matches · Napoli
- L Sun 1 Nov A Juventus 0-2
- W Wed 28 Oct A Monza 4-1
- D Sat 24 Oct H AS Roma 3-3
- W Tue 20 Oct H Bodo/Glimt 4-3
- L Sat 17 Oct A Venezia 0-1
- L Tue 13 Oct A Villarreal 1-3
Last matches · Lazio
- W Sun 1 Nov H Cagliari 2-1
- W Tue 27 Oct A Sassuolo 6-2
- W Sat 24 Oct H Parma 2-1
- W Sun 18 Oct A Juventus 3-0
- W Sun 11 Oct H Monza 3-1
- W Sat 19 Sept A Venezia 2-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Napoli | Lazio |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.7 | 2.4 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 2.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 0% |
Home and away record
| · | Napoli (H) | Lazio (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8/20 | Napoli | 10 | +4 | 14 |
| 1/20 | Lazio | 10 | +16 | 28 |
Last meetings
- 2026Napoli 0-2 Lazio
- 2026Lazio 0-2 Napoli
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.