Serie A · Matchday 11 
Monza vs Atalanta: prediction, stats and form
Serie A, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Monza 37%, the draw 22% and Atalanta 41%, with a predicted score of 1-2. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Monza37%Draw22%Atalanta41%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.64 – 1.76
- Double chance
- 12 · 78%1X 59% · X2 63%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%Over 1.5: 85% · Over 3.5: 44%
- Both teams score
- 66%
- Clean sheet
- 17% – 19%Monza–Atalanta
- Half-time result
- X · 36%1 30% · 2 34%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 25%1/1 22% · X/2 13%
- Expected corners
- 9.04.5 – 4.5 · Over 9.5: 41%
- Expected cards
- 3.11.4 – 1.7 · Over 3.5: 37%
- Most likely scores
- 1-19%
- 1-28%
- 2-18%
- 2-27%
- 0-16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: Monza -0.13 goals per game (12th of 20 in Serie A), Atalanta +0.16 (7th).
- Monza's attack (1.57 goals per game) meets Atalanta's defence (1.32 conceded per game).
- Atalanta's attack (1.48) meets Monza's defence (1.70).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 13% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.64 – 1.76 goals: Monza 37%, draw 22%, Atalanta 41%.
Match facts
Last matches · Monza
- L Sat 31 Oct A Bologna 1-2
- L Wed 28 Oct H Napoli 1-4
- L Fri 23 Oct A Torino 2-3
- W Mon 19 Oct H Cagliari 4-0
- L Sun 11 Oct A Lazio 1-3
- W Fri 18 Sept H Sassuolo 2-1
Last matches · Atalanta
- D Thu 29 Oct A Fiorentina 2-2
- D Sun 25 Oct H Frosinone 4-4
- L Thu 22 Oct A Ajax 0-2
- L Sun 18 Oct A AC Milan 2-3
- W Thu 15 Oct H Pafos 3-1
- W Mon 12 Oct H Venezia 3-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Monza | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Conceded | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | Monza (H) | Atalanta (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.9 | 1.3 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 0.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/20 | Monza | 10 | -7 | 7 |
| 13/20 | Atalanta | 9 | -1 | 11 |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.