CONCACAF Nations League · Play-In Final 
Montserrat vs Nicaragua: prediction, stats and form
CONCACAF Nations League, Saturday 14 November. The PreviaXI model gives Montserrat 68%, the draw 16% and Nicaragua 16%. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Strong
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.36 – 1.02
- Double chance
- 1X · 84%12 84% · X2 32%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%Over 1.5: 84% · Over 3.5: 44%
- Both teams score
- 57%
- Clean sheet
- 36% – 9%Montserrat–Nicaragua
- Half-time result
- 1 · 51%X 34% · 2 15%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 46%X/1 19% · X/X 9%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Montserrat
- Expected goals favour Montserrat: 2.36 – 1.02.
Main uncertainty: the other two results still add up to 32%, led by a draw at 16%.
Built only from the model numbers above. For information; not a certainty.
Match facts
Last matches · Montserrat
- W Tue 6 Oct H Turks and Caicos Islands 4-1
- W Thu 1 Oct A British Virgin Islands 2-0
- W Sat 26 Sept H British Virgin Islands 3-0
- W Wed 23 Sept A Turks and Caicos Islands 2-0
- L Mon 18 Nov A El Salvador 0-1
- L Thu 14 Nov H St. Vincent / Grenadines 1-2
Last matches · Nicaragua
- L Mon 5 Oct H Dominican Republic 1-2
- L Fri 2 Oct H Costa Rica 0-3
- L Mon 28 Sept A Curaçao 1-6
- L Fri 25 Sept A Dominican Republic 2-3
- W Tue 15 Oct H French Guyana 3-2
- L Fri 11 Oct H Jamaica 0-2
Last 10 matches
| · | Montserrat | Nicaragua |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 2.4 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 0.88 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 62% |
| Both teams score | 30% | 62% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 12% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 25% |
Home and away record
| · | Montserrat (H) | Nicaragua (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.8 | 1.3 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 2.5 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 75% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 25% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.