Monterrey vs Guadalajara Chivas: prediction, stats and form

Liga MX, Sunday 25 October. The PreviaXI model gives Monterrey 31%, the draw 27% and Guadalajara Chivas 42%, with 1-2 the most likely score. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

PreviaXI model

Monterrey31%Draw27%Guadalajara Chivas42%

Most likely score: 1-2
Expected goals (xG): 1.26 – 1.48
Over 2.5 goals: 52%
Both teams score: 56%
Expected corners: 9.34.1 – 5.2 · Over 9.5: 45%
Expected cards: 4.32.0 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 59%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.

Match facts

Last matches · Monterrey

W Mon 19 Oct H CF Pachuca 2-1
D Sun 11 Oct A Club America 1-1
L Sat 26 Sept A Atlante FC 2-4
W Sun 20 Sept H Cruz Azul 1-0
D Sun 13 Sept H Tigres UANL 0-0
L Mon 31 Aug H Atletico San Luis 1-3

Last matches · Guadalajara Chivas

W Wed 21 Oct H Necaxa 1-0
D Sat 17 Oct H Tigres UANL 1-1
D Sun 11 Oct A Atlas 1-1
L Sat 26 Sept H Club Queretaro 0-2
D Sun 20 Sept A Club America 2-2
W Mon 14 Sept H U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-0

Last 10 matches

	Monterrey	Guadalajara Chivas
Scored	1.6	1.8
Conceded	1.4	0.9
Points per game	1.40	1.90
Over 2.5 goals	50%	40%
Both teams score	60%	50%
Clean sheets	30%	40%
Failed to score	20%	10%

Home and away record

	Monterrey (H)	Guadalajara Chivas (A)
Scored	1.9	1.3
Conceded	1.6	1.4
Points per game	1.60	1.20
Over 2.5 goals	80%	50%
Both teams score	80%	70%
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Failed to score	10%	10%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
8/18	Monterrey	11	+3	17
2/18	Guadalajara Chivas	13	+8	23

Last meetings

2026Monterrey 2-3 Guadalajara Chivas
2025Guadalajara Chivas 4-2 Monterrey

Form, records and head-to-head use league and cup results from the last two seasons.

All model predictions →