Major League Soccer · Matchday 34 
Minnesota United FC vs San Jose Earthquakes: prediction, stats and form
Major League Soccer, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Minnesota United FC 44%, the draw 23% and San Jose Earthquakes 33%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Minnesota United FC44%Draw23%San Jose Earthquakes33%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.80 – 1.54
- Double chance
- 12 · 77%1X 67% · X2 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%Over 1.5: 85% · Over 3.5: 43%
- Both teams score
- 66%
- Clean sheet
- 21% – 17%Minnesota United FC–San Jose Earthquakes
- Half-time result
- X · 37%1 35% · 2 28%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 27%2/2 20% · X/1 14%
- Expected corners
- 10.85.4 – 5.4 · Over 9.5: 62%
- Expected cards
- 3.91.9 – 2.0 · Over 3.5: 56%
- Most likely scores
- 1-110%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
- 2-27%
- 1-06%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Minnesota United FC
- Power ratings: Minnesota United FC -0.01 goals per game (17th of 30 in Major League Soccer), San Jose Earthquakes +0.12 (10th).
- Minnesota United FC's attack (1.57 goals per game) meets San Jose Earthquakes's defence (1.59 conceded per game).
- San Jose Earthquakes's attack (1.71) meets Minnesota United FC's defence (1.58).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 27% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.80 – 1.54 goals: Minnesota United FC 44%, draw 23%, San Jose Earthquakes 33%.
Match facts
Last matches · Minnesota United FC
- W Mon 2 Nov A Los Angeles FC 3-1
- W Thu 29 Oct H Sporting Kansas City 3-1
- D Sun 25 Oct A Houston Dynamo 0-0
- W Sat 17 Oct H St. Louis City 3-2
- D Thu 15 Oct A Colorado Rapids 2-2
- D Sun 11 Oct H Houston Dynamo 2-2
Last matches · San Jose Earthquakes
- W Sat 31 Oct H Real Salt Lake 2-1
- D Thu 29 Oct H Colorado Rapids 2-2
- L Sun 25 Oct A FC Dallas 0-3
- D Sun 18 Oct H Nashville SC 1-1
- D Thu 15 Oct A Real Salt Lake 1-1
- D Sun 11 Oct A Colorado Rapids 1-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Minnesota United FC | San Jose Earthquakes |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 90% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Minnesota United FC (H) | San Jose Earthquakes (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.7 | 1.3 |
| Conceded | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 90% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/30 | Minnesota United FC | 33 | -4 | 41 |
| 8/30 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | +8 | 52 |
Last meetings
- 2026San Jose Earthquakes 1-5 Minnesota United FC
- 2025Minnesota United FC 4-1 San Jose Earthquakes
- 2025San Jose Earthquakes 0-1 Minnesota United FC
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.