France · Ligue 2 · Matchday 13 
Metz vs Boulogne: prediction, stats and form
France · Ligue 2, Friday 20 November. The PreviaXI model gives Metz 45%, the draw 27% and Boulogne 28%. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Metz45% Draw27% Boulogne28%
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.48 – 1.12
- Double chance
- Either team wins73%Home win or draw 72% · Draw or away win 55%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%Over 1.5: 74% · Over 3.5: 27%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 33% – 23%Metz–Boulogne
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 34% · 2 24%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 27%X/1 16% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.45.5 – 3.9 · Over 9.5: 43%
- Expected cards
- 4.22.0 – 2.2 · Over 3.5: 55%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Metz
- Expected goals favour Metz: 1.48 – 1.12.
Main uncertainty: the other two results still add up to 55%, led by Boulogne win at 28%.
Built only from the model numbers above. For information; not a certainty.
Match facts
Last matches · Metz
- L Sun 15 Nov A Kellermann 0-1
- W Fri 6 Nov A Montpellier 3-2
- L Fri 30 Oct H PAU 1-3
- D Fri 23 Oct A Dunkerque 1-1
- W Sat 17 Oct H Sochaux 3-2
- L Mon 12 Oct A Dijon 2-4
Last matches · Boulogne
- L Sat 14 Nov A St Ouen l'Aumône 0-1
- W Fri 6 Nov H Annecy 3-0
- L Fri 30 Oct A Laval 0-1
- D Mon 26 Oct H Reims 1-1
- W Fri 16 Oct A Grenoble 2-0
- D Fri 9 Oct A Sochaux 1-1
Recent record
| · | Metz | Boulogne |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Conceded | 1.8 | 0.7 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 20% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% |
Home and away record
| · | Metz (H) | Boulogne (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 1.5 | 0.4 |
| Conceded | 1.9 | 0.7 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 10% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 20% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 70% |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7/18 | Metz | 12 | +1 | 17 |
| 12/18 | Boulogne | 12 | +2 | 13 |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.