Melbourne Victory vs Melbourne City: prediction, stats and form

A-League, Saturday 24 October. The PreviaXI model gives Melbourne Victory 46%, the draw 26% and Melbourne City 28%, with 1-0 the most likely score. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

PreviaXI model

Melbourne Victory46%Draw26%Melbourne City28%

Most likely score: 1-0
Expected goals (xG): 1.55 – 1.13
Over 2.5 goals: 50%
Both teams score: 54%
Expected corners: 11.26.2 – 5.0 · Over 9.5: 68%
Expected cards: 3.61.7 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 48%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.

Match facts

Last matches · Melbourne Victory

L Sun 18 Oct A Wellington Phoenix 1-2
L Sat 2 May H Sydney 0-1
W Sat 25 Apr A Western Sydney Wanderers 2-0
D Fri 17 Apr H Newcastle Jets 2-2
D Sat 11 Apr A Auckland 2-2
L Sun 5 Apr H Wellington Phoenix 0-1

Last matches · Melbourne City

L Sat 17 Oct A Auckland 1-3
D Sat 2 May A Auckland 1-1
L Sun 26 Apr H Adelaide United 1-2
W Sat 18 Apr A Brisbane Roar 3-2
W Sun 12 Apr H Wellington Phoenix 2-0
W Tue 7 Apr H Central Coast Mariners 2-1

Last 10 matches

	Melbourne Victory	Melbourne City
Scored	1.8	1.5
Conceded	1.3	1.3
Points per game	1.30	1.70
Over 2.5 goals	60%	60%
Both teams score	70%	60%
Clean sheets	10%	30%
Failed to score	20%	10%

Home and away record

	Melbourne Victory (H)	Melbourne City (A)
Scored	1.9	1.3
Conceded	1.1	1.9
Points per game	1.50	1.30
Over 2.5 goals	50%	50%
Both teams score	60%	70%
Clean sheets	10%	20%
Failed to score	30%	10%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
9/10	Melbourne Victory	1	-1	0
10/10	Melbourne City	1	-2	0

Last meetings

2026Melbourne City 1-3 Melbourne Victory
2025Melbourne City 0-1 Melbourne Victory
2025Melbourne Victory 0-2 Melbourne City

Form, records and head-to-head use league and cup results from the last two seasons.

All model predictions →