Leones del Norte vs Libertad: prediction, stats and form

Ecuador · Liga Pro, Sunday 25 October. The PreviaXI model gives Leones del Norte 34%, the draw 29% and Libertad 37%, with 0-1 the most likely score. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

PreviaXI model

Leones del Norte34%Draw29%Libertad37%

Most likely score: 0-1
Expected goals (xG): 1.09 – 1.14
Over 2.5 goals: 39%
Both teams score: 45%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.How our model works →

Match facts

Last matches · Leones del Norte

L Sun 18 Oct H Emelec 1-3
L Fri 9 Oct A Libertad 0-3
D Sat 19 Sept A Guayaquil City FC 1-1
L Sun 13 Sept H Tecnico Universitario 0-1
D Tue 8 Sept A Mushuc Runa SC 1-1
W Thu 3 Sept H Orense SC 1-0

Last matches · Libertad

W Sat 17 Oct H Guayaquil City FC 4-0
W Fri 9 Oct H Leones del Norte 3-0
W Sun 20 Sept A Emelec 2-1
L Sun 13 Sept H Independiente del Valle 2-3
W Mon 7 Sept A Deportivo Cuenca 1-0
D Fri 4 Sept H Emelec 1-1

Last 10 matches

	Leones del Norte	Libertad
Scored	0.9	1.8
Conceded	1.7	0.9
Points per game	0.80	2.00
Over 2.5 goals	50%	60%
Both teams score	50%	50%
Clean sheets	20%	40%
Failed to score	30%	10%

Home and away record

	Leones del Norte (H)	Libertad (A)
Scored	1.2	1.2
Conceded	1.2	1.0
Points per game	1.30	1.50
Over 2.5 goals	30%	40%
Both teams score	70%	50%
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Failed to score	10%	30%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
12/16	Leones del Norte	33	-6	40
6/16	Libertad	33	+7	50

Last meetings

2026Libertad 3-0 Leones del Norte
2026Libertad 1-3 Leones del Norte
2026Leones del Norte 1-1 Libertad

Form, records and head-to-head use league and cup results from the last two seasons.

Liga Pro table All model predictions