Liga MX · Apertura - 14 
Leon Doha time
Toluca Leon vs Toluca: prediction, stats and form
Liga MX, Sunday 25 October. The PreviaXI model gives Leon 22%, the draw 25% and Toluca 53%, with 1-2 the most likely score. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Leon22%Draw25%Toluca53%
- Most likely score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.07 – 1.79
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Expected corners
- 10.24.4 – 5.8 · Over 9.5: 56%
- Expected cards
- 4.62.3 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 64%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.
Match facts
Last matches · Leon
- W Wed 21 Oct A Tigres UANL 2-0
- L Sun 18 Oct H Club America 3-5
- D Sat 10 Oct A Puebla 1-1
- W Mon 28 Sept H FC Juarez 2-1
- D Mon 21 Sept A Club Queretaro 1-1
- W Tue 15 Sept H Atletico San Luis 2-0
Last matches · Toluca
- D Sun 18 Oct H Atletico San Luis 1-1
- L Sat 10 Oct A Tigres UANL 2-3
- D Sat 26 Sept A Cruz Azul 3-3
- L Mon 21 Sept H Santos Laguna 2-3
- W Wed 16 Sept A Puebla 1-0
- W Sat 12 Sept H Atlas 5-2
Last 10 matches
| Leon | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.7 | 2.3 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 10% |
Home and away record
| Leon (H) | Toluca (A) | |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.9 | 1.4 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/18 | Leon | 13 | +3 | 21 |
| 3/18 | Toluca | 12 | +10 | 21 |
Last meetings
- 2026Toluca 4-1 Leon
- 2025Leon 2-4 Toluca
Form, records and head-to-head use league and cup results from the last two seasons.