Premier League · Matchday 10 
Leeds vs Tottenham: prediction, stats and form
Premier League, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Leeds 44%, the draw 30% and Tottenham 26%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Leeds44%Draw30%Tottenham26%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.40 – 1.03
- Double chance
- 1X · 74%12 70% · X2 56%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%Over 1.5: 71% · Over 3.5: 23%
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Clean sheet
- 36% – 25%Leeds–Tottenham
- Half-time result
- X · 45%1 33% · 2 22%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 26%X/X 19% · X/1 16%
- Expected corners
- 10.04.4 – 5.6 · Over 9.5: 54%
- Expected cards
- 4.21.7 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 60%
- Most likely scores
- 1-114%
- 1-011%
- 0-010%
- 2-19%
- 2-09%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Leeds
- Power ratings: Leeds +0.03 goals per game (9th of 20 in Premier League), Tottenham -0.11 (14th).
- Leeds's attack (1.37 goals per game) meets Tottenham's defence (1.30 conceded per game).
- Tottenham's attack (1.19) meets Leeds's defence (1.34).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.40 – 1.03 goals: Leeds 44%, draw 30%, Tottenham 26%.
Match facts
Last matches · Leeds
- L Sat 31 Oct A Bournemouth 0-2
- D Sun 25 Oct A Sunderland 0-0
- D Sun 18 Oct H Manchester United 1-1
- L Sat 10 Oct A Arsenal 1-2
- D Sun 20 Sept H Crystal Palace 0-0
- W Mon 14 Sept H Newcastle 4-1
Last matches · Tottenham
- W Sat 31 Oct H Crystal Palace 2-0
- W Sat 24 Oct A Chelsea 2-0
- W Mon 19 Oct H Coventry 3-1
- D Sat 10 Oct A Manchester United 1-1
- L Sat 19 Sept H Aston Villa 2-3
- L Tue 15 Sept A Liverpool 1-3
Last 10 matches
| · | Leeds | Tottenham |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.3 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Leeds (H) | Tottenham (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.6 | 0.9 |
| Conceded | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/20 | Leeds | 9 | +1 | 11 |
| 8/20 | Tottenham | 9 | 0 | 12 |
Last meetings
- 2026Tottenham 1-1 Leeds
- 2025Leeds 1-2 Tottenham
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.