France · Ligue 3 · Matchday 13 
La Roche VF vs Concarneau: prediction, stats and form
France · Ligue 3, Saturday 21 November. The PreviaXI model gives La Roche VF 52%, the draw 31% and Concarneau 17%. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
La Roche VF52% Draw31% Concarneau17%
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.48 – 0.77
- Double chance
- Home win or draw83%Either team wins 69% · Draw or away win 48%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%Over 1.5: 68% · Over 3.5: 19%
- Both teams score
- 48%
- Clean sheet
- 46% – 23%La Roche VF–Concarneau
- Half-time result
- X · 47%1 37% · 2 16%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 31%X/X 21% · X/1 18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards La Roche VF
- Expected goals favour La Roche VF: 1.48 – 0.77.
- The model gives La Roche VF a 46% chance of a clean sheet.
Main uncertainty: the other two results still add up to 48%, led by a draw at 31%.
Built only from the model numbers above. For information; not a certainty.
Match facts
Last matches · La Roche VF
- W Fri 13 Nov A St-Philbert Gd Lieu 3-1
- W Sat 7 Nov A Gobelins 1-0
- W Sat 31 Oct H Bourg-en-bresse 01 2-0
- L Thu 15 Oct A Caen 1-2
- W Sat 3 Oct H Aubagne 3-1
- W Sat 26 Sept A Thionville Lusitanos 2-1
Last matches · Concarneau
- W Sat 14 Nov A Tinteniac 4-1
- W Sat 7 Nov H Fleury 91 2-0
- L Sat 31 Oct A Rouen 1-2
- D Sat 17 Oct H Bastia 1-1
- W Sat 3 Oct H Gobelins 2-1
- D Sat 26 Sept A Bourg-en-bresse 01 1-1
Recent record
| · | La Roche VF | Concarneau |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Conceded | 0.8 | 0.9 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | La Roche VF (H) | Concarneau (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Conceded | 0.9 | 1.1 |
| Points per game | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 20% |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/18 | La Roche VF | 12 | +9 | 27 |
| 6/18 | Concarneau | 12 | +5 | 20 |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.