Premier League · Matchday 10 
Ipswich vs Bournemouth: prediction, stats and form
Premier League, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Ipswich 31%, the draw 24% and Bournemouth 45%, with a predicted score of 1-2. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Ipswich31%Draw24%Bournemouth45%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.54 – 1.88
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 55% · X2 69%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 66%Over 1.5: 87% · Over 3.5: 45%
- Both teams score
- 68%
- Clean sheet
- 15% – 21%Ipswich–Bournemouth
- Half-time result
- 2 · 37%1 27% · X 36%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 28%1/1 18% · X/2 14%
- Expected corners
- 8.63.8 – 4.8 · Over 9.5: 36%
- Expected cards
- 4.51.8 – 2.7 · Over 3.5: 66%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 1-29%
- 2-17%
- 2-27%
- 0-26%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Bournemouth
- Power ratings: Ipswich -0.32 goals per game (19th of 20 in Premier League), Bournemouth +0.30 (6th).
- Ipswich's attack (1.45 goals per game) meets Bournemouth's defence (1.35 conceded per game).
- Bournemouth's attack (1.65) meets Ipswich's defence (1.77).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.54 – 1.88 goals: Ipswich 31%, draw 24%, Bournemouth 45%.
Match facts
Last matches · Ipswich
- D Sat 31 Oct A Hull City 2-2
- D Fri 23 Oct H Nottingham Forest 1-1
- L Sat 17 Oct A Manchester City 2-3
- W Sat 10 Oct H Fulham 2-1
- L Sat 19 Sept A Everton 0-1
- L Tue 15 Sept H Arsenal 2-4
Last matches · Bournemouth
- W Sat 31 Oct H Leeds 2-0
- W Wed 28 Oct H Aston Villa 3-0
- W Sun 25 Oct A Manchester United 3-0
- W Thu 22 Oct H AC Milan 3-0
- W Sun 18 Oct H Sunderland 2-0
- W Thu 15 Oct H Sturm Graz 3-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Ipswich | Bournemouth |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Conceded | 2.2 | 0.9 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 2.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 60% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Ipswich (H) | Bournemouth (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.3 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/20 | Ipswich | 9 | -4 | 11 |
| 7/20 | Bournemouth | 9 | +1 | 12 |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.