Independiente vs Boca Juniors: prediction, stats and form

Liga Profesional Argentina, Sunday 25 October. The PreviaXI model gives Independiente 28%, the draw 31% and Boca Juniors 41%, with 0-1 the most likely score. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

PreviaXI model

Independiente28%Draw31%Boca Juniors41%

Most likely score: 0-1
Expected goals (xG): 0.94 – 1.20
Over 2.5 goals: 36%
Both teams score: 44%
Expected corners: 9.35.1 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 44%
Expected cards: 5.12.7 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 74%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.

Match facts

Last matches · Independiente

D Sun 18 Oct A Racing Club 1-1
D Mon 12 Oct A Talleres Cordoba 0-0
L Fri 2 Oct H Instituto Cordoba 1-4
W Sat 19 Sept A Union Santa Fe 2-1
D Sun 13 Sept H San Lorenzo 1-1
W Sun 6 Sept A Central Cordoba de Santiago 1-0

Last matches · Boca Juniors

W Wed 21 Oct A Vasco DA Gama 3-1
W Sat 17 Oct H Talleres Cordoba 2-1
L Wed 14 Oct H Vasco DA Gama 0-1
D Fri 9 Oct A Instituto Cordoba 2-2
W Sat 3 Oct H Union Santa Fe 3-0
W Sun 20 Sept A San Lorenzo 2-0

Last 10 matches

	Independiente	Boca Juniors
Scored	0.9	1.9
Conceded	1.2	0.9
Points per game	1.30	2.10
Over 2.5 goals	40%	60%
Both teams score	50%	60%
Clean sheets	30%	30%
Failed to score	40%	10%

Home and away record

	Independiente (H)	Boca Juniors (A)
Scored	1.2	1.8
Conceded	1.6	1.1
Points per game	1.20	1.50
Over 2.5 goals	50%	50%
Both teams score	50%	70%
Clean sheets	30%	20%
Failed to score	30%	10%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
14/30	Independiente	30	+1	43
5/30	Boca Juniors	30	+20	55

Last meetings

2026Boca Juniors 1-1 Independiente
2025Boca Juniors 0-1 Independiente

Form, records and head-to-head use league and cup results from the last two seasons.

All model predictions →