Premiership · Matchday 13 
Heart Of Midlothian vs Falkirk: prediction, stats and form
Premiership, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Heart Of Midlothian 61%, the draw 22% and Falkirk 17%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Heart Of Midlothian61%Draw22%Falkirk17%
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.91 – 0.92
- Double chance
- 1X · 83%12 78% · X2 39%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%Over 1.5: 78% · Over 3.5: 31%
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Clean sheet
- 40% – 15%Heart Of Midlothian–Falkirk
- Half-time result
- 1 · 44%X 39% · 2 17%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 39%X/1 19% · X/X 13%
- Expected corners
- 10.16.4 – 3.7 · Over 9.5: 56%
- Expected cards
- 4.71.9 – 2.8 · Over 3.5: 69%
- Most likely scores
- 1-011%
- 2-011%
- 1-111%
- 2-110%
- 3-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Heart Of Midlothian
- Power ratings: Heart Of Midlothian +0.66 goals per game (3rd of 12 in Premiership), Falkirk -0.03 (7th).
- Heart Of Midlothian's attack (1.76 goals per game) meets Falkirk's defence (1.36 conceded per game).
- Falkirk's attack (1.33) meets Heart Of Midlothian's defence (1.10).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 29% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.91 – 0.92 goals: Heart Of Midlothian 61%, draw 22%, Falkirk 17%.
Match facts
Last matches · Heart Of Midlothian
- D Wed 28 Oct H Rangers 2-2
- W Sun 25 Oct A Motherwell 2-0
- L Thu 22 Oct A Trabzonspor 0-2
- L Sun 18 Oct A Celtic 1-7
- D Thu 15 Oct H FC Nordsjaelland 1-1
- W Sat 10 Oct H ST Mirren 5-0
Last matches · Falkirk
- W Sun 1 Nov H Celtic 2-0
- W Wed 28 Oct A Aberdeen 1-0
- W Sat 24 Oct H Kilmarnock 3-0
- W Sat 17 Oct A Hibernian 2-1
- L Sat 10 Oct H Dundee 1-2
- D Sat 19 Sept A ST Johnstone 1-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Heart Of Midlothian | Falkirk |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.8 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Points per game | 1.50 | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% |
Home and away record
| · | Heart Of Midlothian (H) | Falkirk (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.2 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/12 | Heart Of Midlothian | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 4/12 | Falkirk | 12 | +3 | 18 |
Last meetings
- 2026Falkirk 2-1 Heart Of Midlothian
- 2026Heart Of Midlothian 3-0 Falkirk
- 2026Heart Of Midlothian 1-0 Falkirk
- 2025Falkirk 0-2 Heart Of Midlothian
- 2025Heart Of Midlothian 3-0 Falkirk
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.