DFB Pokal · Round of 32 
Hamburger SV vs Eintracht Frankfurt: prediction, stats and form
DFB Pokal, Tuesday 27 October. The PreviaXI model gives Hamburger SV 38%, the draw 26% and Eintracht Frankfurt 36%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.46 – 1.41
- Double chance
- 12 · 74%1X 64% · X2 62%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%Over 1.5: 79% · Over 3.5: 32%
- Both teams score
- 59%
- Clean sheet
- 25% – 23%Hamburger SV–Eintracht Frankfurt
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 30% · 2 29%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 23%2/2 21% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 8.84.2 – 4.6 · Over 9.5: 39%
- Expected cards
- 4.41.9 – 2.5 · Over 3.5: 62%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
- 1-08%
- 0-17%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: Hamburger SV +0.01 goals per game (266th of 420 in Europe), Eintracht Frankfurt +0.29 (189th).
- Hamburger SV's attack (1.36 goals per game) meets Eintracht Frankfurt's defence (1.36 conceded per game).
- Eintracht Frankfurt's attack (1.65) meets Hamburger SV's defence (1.35).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 25% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.46 – 1.41 goals: Hamburger SV 38%, draw 26%, Eintracht Frankfurt 36%.
Chance to score
Hamburger SV
- A. Grønbæk2 goals in 6 games20%
- N. Capaldo1 goals in 7 games11%
- L. Lemke1 goals in 6 games10%
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Y. Ebnoutalib5 goals in 6 games35%
- J. Burkardt3 goals in 6 games24%
- C. Uzun2 goals in 5 games19%
Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.
Trends
- 6 of Eintracht Frankfurt’s last 8 matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Hamburger SV failed to score in 4 of their last 8 matches.
Season stats
| · | Hamburger SV | Eintracht Frankfurt | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| · | All | Home | All | Away |
| Won-drawn-lost | 3-0-4 | 2-0-1 | 2-2-3 | 1-1-2 |
| Goals scored per game | 0.86 | 1.00 | 1.43 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per game | 2.29 | 2.00 | 2.43 | 2.75 |
| xG per game | 0.99 | 1.05 | 1.72 | 1.46 |
| xG against per game | 1.79 | 2.15 | 2.09 | 2.40 |
| Scored in | 43% | 67% | 71% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 14% | 33% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 57% | 33% | 29% | 50% |
| Both teams scored | 29% | 33% | 57% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 67% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% | 33% | 71% | 75% |
| Shots per game | 10.7 | 11.3 | 13.7 | 12.2 |
| Shots on target per game | 3.3 | 3.7 | 5.4 | 5.0 |
| Shots on target | 31% | 33% | 39% | 41% |
| Possession | 39% | 40% | 50% | 48% |
| Passes per game | 344.1 | 333.7 | 425.0 | 409.2 |
| Pass accuracy | 78% | 78% | 81% | 81% |
| Corners per game | 3.7 | 4.0 | 4.7 | 3.5 |
| Corners against per game | 6.0 | 6.3 | 5.3 | 6.2 |
| Cards per game | 1.4 | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.8 |
| Fouls per game | 14.4 | 12.7 | 10.6 | 11.0 |
League matches this season (Bundesliga). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.
When goals come
Hamburger SV
- 0-151 / 1
- 16-300 / 3
- 31-452 / 2
- 46-601 / 2
- 61-750 / 2
- 76-90+3 / 4
Usual formation: 3-4-2-1
Eintracht Frankfurt
- 0-155 / 3
- 16-300 / 0
- 31-452 / 3
- 46-602 / 3
- 61-751 / 1
- 76-90+1 / 5
Usual formation: 4-4-2
Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.
Next matches
Hamburger SV
- Sun 1 NovEintracht Frankfurt – Hamburger SVBundesliga
- Fri 6 NovHamburger SV – Borussia MönchengladbachBundesliga
- Sun 22 NovWerder Bremen – Hamburger SVBundesliga
Eintracht Frankfurt
- Sun 1 NovEintracht Frankfurt – Hamburger SVBundesliga
- Sat 7 NovSC Paderborn 07 – Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- Sat 21 NovEintracht Frankfurt – 1899 HoffenheimBundesliga
Head-to-head: last 10 meetings
Hamburger SV 1 wins · 4 draws · Eintracht Frankfurt 5 wins
- 02/05/2026Eintracht Frankfurt1-2Hamburger SVBundesliga
- 20/12/2025Hamburger SV1-1Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- 05/05/2018Eintracht Frankfurt3-0Hamburger SVBundesliga
- 12/12/2017Hamburger SV1-2Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- 18/03/2017Eintracht Frankfurt0-0Hamburger SVBundesliga
- 21/10/2016Hamburger SV0-3Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- 19/02/2016Eintracht Frankfurt0-0Hamburger SVBundesliga
- 19/09/2015Hamburger SV0-0Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
- 28/02/2015Eintracht Frankfurt2-1Hamburger SVBundesliga
- 28/09/2014Hamburger SV1-2Eintracht FrankfurtBundesliga
Match facts
Last matches · Hamburger SV
- L Sat 24 Oct A SC Paderborn 07 0-1
- W Sat 17 Oct H VfB Stuttgart 1-0
- W Sat 10 Oct A 1899 Hoffenheim 3-2
- W Sat 19 Sept H 1. FC Köln 2-1
- L Sun 13 Sept A RB Leipzig 0-5
- L Sun 6 Sept H FSV Mainz 05 0-5
Last matches · Eintracht Frankfurt
- L Sat 24 Oct A Borussia Dortmund 0-1
- W Fri 16 Oct H 1. FC Köln 1-0
- L Sat 10 Oct A RB Leipzig 0-6
- D Sat 19 Sept H SC Freiburg 2-2
- W Sat 12 Sept A FSV Mainz 05 3-1
- L Sun 6 Sept H FC Augsburg 1-4
Last 10 matches
| · | Hamburger SV | Eintracht Frankfurt |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 2.0 | 2.4 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 0.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | Hamburger SV (H) | Eintracht Frankfurt (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Conceded | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 0.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.