Serie A · Matchday 11 
Genoa vs AC Milan: prediction, stats and form
Serie A, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Genoa 28%, the draw 25% and AC Milan 47%, with a predicted score of 0-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Genoa28%Draw25%AC Milan47%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.05 – 1.45
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 53% · X2 72%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%Over 1.5: 71% · Over 3.5: 24%
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Clean sheet
- 23% – 35%Genoa–AC Milan
- Half-time result
- X · 43%1 23% · 2 34%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 28%1/1 16% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 8.04.1 – 3.9 · Over 9.5: 29%
- Expected cards
- 4.11.8 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 57%
- Most likely scores
- 0-112%
- 1-112%
- 1-09%
- 1-29%
- 0-29%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards AC Milan
- Power ratings: Genoa -0.20 goals per game (13th of 20 in Serie A), AC Milan +0.39 (6th).
- Genoa's attack (1.11 goals per game) meets AC Milan's defence (1.19 conceded per game).
- AC Milan's attack (1.58) meets Genoa's defence (1.31).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 13% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.05 – 1.45 goals: Genoa 28%, draw 25%, AC Milan 47%.
Match facts
Last matches · Genoa
- W Sun 1 Nov A Lecce 2-1
- W Wed 28 Oct H Juventus 2-0
- W Sun 25 Oct H Venezia 1-0
- L Sat 17 Oct A AS Roma 0-2
- W Sat 10 Oct H Fiorentina 2-1
- L Sun 20 Sept A Parma 1-2
Last matches · AC Milan
- W Sat 31 Oct H Inter 3-1
- L Wed 28 Oct H Bologna 2-4
- W Sun 25 Oct A Udinese 2-0
- L Thu 22 Oct A Bournemouth 0-3
- W Sun 18 Oct H Atalanta 3-2
- W Thu 15 Oct A Red Bull Salzburg 4-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Genoa | AC Milan |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.1 | 2.0 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | Genoa (H) | AC Milan (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.3 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 1.1 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/20 | Genoa | 10 | -4 | 13 |
| 5/20 | AC Milan | 10 | +9 | 21 |
Last meetings
- 2026Genoa 1-2 AC Milan
- 2026AC Milan 1-1 Genoa
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.