Premier League · Matchday 10 
Fulham vs Newcastle: prediction, stats and form
Premier League, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Fulham 42%, the draw 28% and Newcastle 30%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Fulham42%Draw28%Newcastle30%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.53 – 1.26
- Double chance
- 12 · 72%1X 70% · X2 58%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%Over 1.5: 78% · Over 3.5: 31%
- Both teams score
- 57%
- Clean sheet
- 28% – 22%Fulham–Newcastle
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 33% · 2 26%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 25%2/2 17% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 11.25.8 – 5.4 · Over 9.5: 69%
- Expected cards
- 4.02.1 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 56%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 2-19%
- 1-08%
- 1-27%
- 0-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Fulham
- Power ratings: Fulham -0.04 goals per game (12th of 20 in Premier League), Newcastle -0.04 (11th).
- Fulham's attack (1.31 goals per game) meets Newcastle's defence (1.49 conceded per game).
- Newcastle's attack (1.45) meets Fulham's defence (1.35).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.53 – 1.26 goals: Fulham 42%, draw 28%, Newcastle 30%.
Match facts
Last matches · Fulham
- D Sat 31 Oct A Aston Villa 1-1
- L Wed 28 Oct H Crystal Palace 0-1
- W Sat 24 Oct A Coventry 1-0
- W Sat 17 Oct H Hull City 1-0
- L Sat 10 Oct A Ipswich 1-2
- D Sun 20 Sept H Manchester United 1-1
Last matches · Newcastle
- L Thu 29 Oct A Everton 1-3
- W Sun 25 Oct A Crystal Palace 2-0
- L Sat 17 Oct H Aston Villa 0-1
- L Mon 12 Oct A Coventry 1-4
- W Sat 19 Sept H Hull City 2-1
- L Mon 14 Sept A Leeds 1-4
Last 10 matches
| · | Fulham | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.0 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Fulham (H) | Newcastle (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.5 | 1.0 |
| Conceded | 1.0 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/20 | Fulham | 9 | -2 | 9 |
| 12/20 | Newcastle | 8 | -2 | 11 |
Last meetings
- 2026Fulham 2-0 Newcastle
- 2025Newcastle 2-1 Fulham
- 2025Newcastle 2-1 Fulham
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.