FS Jelgava vs BFC Daugavpils: prediction, stats and form

Latvia · Virsliga, Sunday 25 October. The PreviaXI model gives FS Jelgava 36%, the draw 28% and BFC Daugavpils 36%, with 0-1 the most likely score. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

PreviaXI model

FS Jelgava36%Draw28%BFC Daugavpils36%

Most likely score: 0-1
Expected goals (xG): 1.12 – 1.14
Over 2.5 goals: 39%
Both teams score: 46%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.How our model works →

Match facts

Last matches · FS Jelgava

L Sun 18 Oct A FK Liepaja 0-3
L Sun 11 Oct A Rīgas FS 2-4
L Sat 19 Sept H Riga 0-1
D Sat 12 Sept A Grobiņa 0-0
L Sat 5 Sept H Super Nova 0-1
W Sat 29 Aug A Tukums 4-1

Last matches · BFC Daugavpils

W Mon 19 Oct H Auda 2-1
W Sun 11 Oct A Ogre United 2-1
D Sat 19 Sept A FK Liepaja 0-0
L Sun 13 Sept H Rīgas FS 1-2
D Mon 7 Sept A Riga 1-1
L Sat 29 Aug A Grobiņa 0-1

Last 10 matches

	FS Jelgava	BFC Daugavpils
Scored	1.0	1.0
Conceded	1.7	0.8
Points per game	0.70	1.50
Over 2.5 goals	50%	40%
Both teams score	40%	50%
Clean sheets	10%	30%
Failed to score	60%	40%

Home and away record

	FS Jelgava (H)	BFC Daugavpils (A)
Scored	0.8	1.0
Conceded	1.1	0.9
Points per game	0.80	1.10
Over 2.5 goals	10%	30%
Both teams score	30%	50%
Clean sheets	10%	30%
Failed to score	60%	40%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
7/10	FS Jelgava	33	-22	32
5/10	BFC Daugavpils	33	+2	45

Last meetings

2026BFC Daugavpils 2-1 FS Jelgava
2026FS Jelgava 1-1 BFC Daugavpils
2026BFC Daugavpils 1-0 FS Jelgava
2025FS Jelgava 0-0 BFC Daugavpils
2025BFC Daugavpils 2-0 FS Jelgava
2025BFC Daugavpils 1-0 FS Jelgava

Form, records and head-to-head use league and cup results from the last two seasons.

Virsliga table All model predictions