Serie A · Matchday 11 
Fiorentina vs Juventus: prediction, stats and form
Serie A, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Fiorentina 24%, the draw 25% and Juventus 51%, with a predicted score of 0-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Fiorentina24%Draw25%Juventus51%
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 0.96 – 1.55
- Double chance
- X2 · 76%1X 49% · 12 75%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 46%Over 1.5: 71% · Over 3.5: 24%
- Both teams score
- 48%
- Clean sheet
- 21% – 38%Fiorentina–Juventus
- Half-time result
- X · 43%1 20% · 2 37%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 32%X/2 18% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 9.64.4 – 5.2 · Over 9.5: 48%
- Expected cards
- 4.02.2 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 57%
- Most likely scores
- 0-113%
- 1-112%
- 0-210%
- 1-29%
- 1-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Juventus
- Power ratings: Fiorentina -0.06 goals per game (11th of 20 in Serie A), Juventus +0.68 (2nd).
- Fiorentina's attack (1.33 goals per game) meets Juventus's defence (0.91 conceded per game).
- Juventus's attack (1.59) meets Fiorentina's defence (1.39).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 13% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 0.96 – 1.55 goals: Fiorentina 24%, draw 25%, Juventus 51%.
Match facts
Last matches · Fiorentina
- D Thu 29 Oct H Atalanta 2-2
- L Sun 25 Oct A Inter 1-2
- L Sun 18 Oct H Como 1-3
- L Sat 10 Oct A Genoa 1-2
- D Sun 20 Sept H Napoli 1-1
- W Tue 15 Sept H Pisa 3-0
Last matches · Juventus
- W Sun 1 Nov H Napoli 2-0
- L Wed 28 Oct A Genoa 0-2
- W Sun 25 Oct A Lecce 2-0
- D Thu 22 Oct H Rennes 2-2
- L Sun 18 Oct H Lazio 0-3
- W Thu 15 Oct A Celta Vigo 2-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Fiorentina | Juventus |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 2.1 | 1.2 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | Fiorentina (H) | Juventus (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 0.9 |
| Points per game | 1.10 | 1.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 30% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/20 | Fiorentina | 9 | -10 | 5 |
| 7/20 | Juventus | 10 | +3 | 17 |
Last meetings
- 2026Juventus 0-2 Fiorentina
- 2025Fiorentina 1-1 Juventus
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.