Eredivisie · Matchday 12 
Excelsior vs GO Ahead Eagles: prediction, stats and form
Eredivisie, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Excelsior 39%, the draw 25% and GO Ahead Eagles 36%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Excelsior39%Draw25%GO Ahead Eagles36%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.67 – 1.58
- Double chance
- 12 · 75%1X 64% · X2 61%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 63%Over 1.5: 85% · Over 3.5: 41%
- Both teams score
- 66%
- Clean sheet
- 21% – 19%Excelsior–GO Ahead Eagles
- Half-time result
- X · 38%1 32% · 2 30%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 24%2/2 21% · X/1 13%
- Expected corners
- 9.74.8 – 4.9 · Over 9.5: 51%
- Expected cards
- 2.51.0 – 1.5 · Over 3.5: 25%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-19%
- 1-28%
- 2-27%
- 1-05%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: Excelsior -0.41 goals per game (14th of 18 in Eredivisie), GO Ahead Eagles -0.25 (13th).
- Excelsior's attack (1.38 goals per game) meets GO Ahead Eagles's defence (1.81 conceded per game).
- GO Ahead Eagles's attack (1.56) meets Excelsior's defence (1.79).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 18% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.67 – 1.58 goals: Excelsior 39%, draw 25%, GO Ahead Eagles 36%.
Match facts
Last matches · Excelsior
- L Sun 1 Nov H Twente 0-9
- L Sun 25 Oct A Fortuna Sittard 0-1
- L Fri 16 Oct A Heerenveen 0-4
- L Sun 11 Oct H Groningen 1-5
- D Sat 19 Sept A Ajax 2-2
- L Sun 13 Sept H Utrecht 1-2
Last matches · GO Ahead Eagles
- L Sat 31 Oct A Cambuur 0-4
- W Fri 23 Oct H Telstar 3-2
- L Sun 18 Oct A PEC Zwolle 1-4
- D Sat 10 Oct H Sparta Rotterdam 3-3
- D Sun 20 Sept A NEC Nijmegen 1-1
- D Sat 12 Sept H Groningen 1-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Excelsior | GO Ahead Eagles |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.2 | 1.9 |
| Conceded | 2.8 | 2.6 |
| Points per game | 0.80 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Excelsior (H) | GO Ahead Eagles (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 2.5 | 2.5 |
| Points per game | 0.70 | 0.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/18 | Excelsior | 11 | -12 | 11 |
| 10/18 | GO Ahead Eagles | 11 | -4 | 14 |
Last meetings
- 2026Excelsior 0-1 GO Ahead Eagles
- 2025GO Ahead Eagles 2-0 Excelsior
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.