CONCACAF Nations League · Play-In Final 
El Salvador vs Saint Martin: prediction, stats and form
CONCACAF Nations League, Wednesday 18 November. The PreviaXI model gives El Salvador 21%, the draw 17% and Saint Martin 62%. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
El Salvador21% Draw17% Saint Martin62%
Model confidence: High
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.39 – 2.44
- Double chance
- Either team wins83%Home win or draw 38% · Draw or away win 79%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%Over 1.5: 89% · Over 3.5: 53%
- Both teams score
- 63%
- Clean sheet
- 9% – 25%El Salvador–Saint Martin
- Half-time result
- 2 · 47%1 21% · X 32%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 40%X/2 16% · 1/1 12%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Saint Martin
- Expected goals favour Saint Martin: 1.39 – 2.44.
Main uncertainty: the other two results still add up to 38%, led by El Salvador win at 21%.
Built only from the model numbers above. For information; not a certainty.
Match facts
Last matches · El Salvador
- W Fri 13 Nov A Saint Martin 2-0
- D Mon 5 Oct A Martinique 1-1
- L Sat 3 Oct H Jamaica 0-2
- L Tue 29 Sept A Guatemala 0-6
- W Sat 26 Sept H Martinique 3-1
- W Mon 18 Nov H Montserrat 1-0
Last matches · Saint Martin
- L Fri 13 Nov H El Salvador 0-2
- W Tue 6 Oct H Bahamas 6-0
- W Thu 1 Oct A US Virgin Islands 5-0
- L Sat 26 Sept H US Virgin Islands 0-2
- W Wed 23 Sept A Bahamas 8-0
- W Mon 18 Nov A Grenada 3-0
Recent record
| · | El Salvador | Saint Martin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 1.4 | 2.7 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 80% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 10% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 50% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% |
Home and away record
| · | El Salvador (H) | Saint Martin (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 5 | 5 |
| Scored | 1.4 | 4.0 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Points per game | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 100% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 0% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 80% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% |
Last meetings
- 2026Saint Martin 0-2 El Salvador
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.