Mongolia · Premier League · Matchday 14 
Deren 
Ulaanbaatar Deren vs Ulaanbaatar: prediction, stats and form
Mongolia · Premier League, Tuesday 10 November. The PreviaXI model gives Deren 22%, the draw 27% and Ulaanbaatar 51%. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.08 – 1.74
- Double chance
- X2 · 78%1X 49% · 12 73%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 53%Over 1.5: 79% · Over 3.5: 31%
- Both teams score
- 56%
- Clean sheet
- 18% – 34%Deren–Ulaanbaatar
- Half-time result
- X · 41%1 21% · 2 38%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 32%X/2 17% · X/X 16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Ulaanbaatar
- Expected goals favour Ulaanbaatar: 1.08 – 1.74.
Main uncertainty: the other two results still add up to 49%, led by a draw at 27%.
Built only from the model numbers above. For information; not a certainty.
Match facts
Last matches · Deren
- L Fri 6 Nov A Hunters 1-2
- D Mon 2 Nov A Central Stallions 3-3
- L Thu 29 Oct A Ulaanbaatar 0-1
- W Sun 25 Oct H Hunters 2-0
- W Wed 14 Oct H Erchim 5-0
- L Sun 11 Oct A Central Stallions 1-2
Last matches · Ulaanbaatar
- W Fri 6 Nov H Central Stallions 3-2
- W Mon 2 Nov A Hunters 9-1
- W Thu 29 Oct H Deren 1-0
- W Sun 25 Oct A Central Stallions 1-0
- W Sun 18 Oct H Central Stallions 2-0
- W Wed 14 Oct H Khovd Western 8-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Deren | Ulaanbaatar |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 3.0 | 4.4 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 0.7 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 3.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 60% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 0% |
Home and away record
| · | Deren (H) | Ulaanbaatar (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 3.2 | 3.5 |
| Conceded | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Points per game | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 30% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 60% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/9 | Deren | 12 | +17 | 21 |
| 1/9 | Ulaanbaatar | 12 | +46 | 34 |
Last meetings
- 2026Ulaanbaatar 1-0 Deren
- 2026Deren 0-0 Ulaanbaatar
- 2026Ulaanbaatar 2-3 Deren
- 2026Deren 0-2 Ulaanbaatar
- 2026Ulaanbaatar 2-0 Deren
- 2025Deren 1-1 Ulaanbaatar
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.