Major League Soccer · Matchday 34 
DC United vs New York City FC: prediction, stats and form
Major League Soccer, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives DC United 35%, the draw 28% and New York City FC 37%, with a predicted score of 0-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
DC United35%Draw28%New York City FC37%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.25 – 1.31
- Double chance
- 12 · 72%1X 63% · X2 65%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%Over 1.5: 73% · Over 3.5: 26%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 27% – 29%DC United–New York City FC
- Half-time result
- X · 43%1 28% · 2 29%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 22%1/1 20% · X/X 17%
- Expected corners
- 9.75.4 – 4.3 · Over 9.5: 51%
- Expected cards
- 4.52.6 – 1.9 · Over 3.5: 65%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-110%
- 1-09%
- 1-28%
- 0-08%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: DC United -0.35 goals per game (27th of 30 in Major League Soccer), New York City FC +0.06 (12th).
- DC United's attack (1.29 goals per game) meets New York City FC's defence (1.34 conceded per game).
- New York City FC's attack (1.40) meets DC United's defence (1.64).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 27% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.25 – 1.31 goals: DC United 35%, draw 28%, New York City FC 37%.
Match facts
Last matches · DC United
- L Sat 31 Oct A Columbus Crew 0-3
- L Wed 28 Oct A Toronto FC 1-2
- L Sat 24 Oct H FC Cincinnati 0-2
- L Wed 21 Oct A FC Cincinnati 1-2
- L Sat 17 Oct A Orlando City SC 1-4
- W Wed 14 Oct H New York Red Bulls 2-1
Last matches · New York City FC
- D Sat 31 Oct H CF Montreal 1-1
- W Wed 28 Oct H Atlanta United FC 2-1
- D Sat 24 Oct A Orlando City SC 2-2
- D Sat 17 Oct H Los Angeles FC 1-1
- L Wed 14 Oct A Inter Miami 0-2
- L Sat 10 Oct A Chicago Fire 1-2
Last 10 matches
| · | DC United | New York City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Conceded | 2.3 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 0.50 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | DC United (H) | New York City FC (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.3 | 1.3 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/30 | DC United | 33 | -21 | 33 |
| 22/30 | New York City FC | 33 | +3 | 39 |
Last meetings
- 2026New York City FC 0-2 DC United
- 2025New York City FC 1-2 DC United
- 2025DC United 0-0 New York City FC
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.