Chicago Fire vs Columbus Crew: prediction, stats and form
Major League Soccer, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Chicago Fire 49%, the draw 24% and Columbus Crew 27%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Chicago Fire49%Draw24%Columbus Crew27%
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.74 – 1.25
- Double chance
- 12 · 76%1X 73% · X2 51%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%Over 1.5: 80% · Over 3.5: 35%
- Both teams score
- 59%
- Clean sheet
- 29% – 17%Chicago Fire–Columbus Crew
- Half-time result
- X · 39%1 37% · 2 24%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 30%X/1 16% · 2/2 15%
- Expected corners
- 8.54.2 – 4.3 · Over 9.5: 34%
- Expected cards
- 4.02.2 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 55%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-110%
- 1-08%
- 2-08%
- 1-27%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Chicago Fire
- Power ratings: Chicago Fire +0.36 goals per game (6th of 30 in Major League Soccer), Columbus Crew +0.19 (7th).
- Chicago Fire's attack (1.78 goals per game) meets Columbus Crew's defence (1.35 conceded per game).
- Columbus Crew's attack (1.54) meets Chicago Fire's defence (1.42).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 27% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.74 – 1.25 goals: Chicago Fire 49%, draw 24%, Columbus Crew 27%.
Match facts
Last matches · Chicago Fire
- W Sun 1 Nov A Colorado Rapids 4-2
- D Thu 29 Oct H Orlando City SC 2-2
- W Sat 24 Oct A Atlanta United FC 3-2
- L Sat 17 Oct A New England Revolution 0-1
- L Thu 15 Oct H Philadelphia Union 1-3
- W Sat 10 Oct H New York City FC 2-1
Last matches · Columbus Crew
- W Sat 31 Oct H DC United 3-0
- W Thu 29 Oct A FC Dallas 2-0
- W Sat 24 Oct H Toronto FC 4-2
- W Sun 18 Oct A FC Cincinnati 2-0
- W Wed 14 Oct H Charlotte 3-1
- L Sat 10 Oct A Orlando City SC 2-3
Last 10 matches
| · | Chicago Fire | Columbus Crew |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.7 | 2.1 |
| Conceded | 1.7 | 1.0 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 10% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Chicago Fire (H) | Columbus Crew (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.7 | 1.7 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 1.70 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 100% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 0% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/30 | Chicago Fire | 33 | +11 | 55 |
| 14/30 | Columbus Crew | 33 | +6 | 44 |
Last meetings
- 2026Columbus Crew 0-0 Chicago Fire
- 2025Chicago Fire 2-0 Columbus Crew
- 2025Columbus Crew 4-2 Chicago Fire
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.

