Premiership · Matchday 13 
Celtic vs Kilmarnock: prediction, stats and form
Premiership, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Celtic 80%, the draw 13% and Kilmarnock 7%, with a predicted score of 2-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Celtic80%Draw13%Kilmarnock7%
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 2-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.99 – 0.86
- Double chance
- 1X · 93%12 87% · X2 20%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 74%Over 1.5: 90% · Over 3.5: 54%
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Clean sheet
- 42% – 5%Celtic–Kilmarnock
- Half-time result
- 1 · 61%X 28% · 2 11%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 58%X/1 19% · X/X 7%
- Expected corners
- 11.98.5 – 3.4 · Over 9.5: 75%
- Expected cards
- 4.21.8 – 2.4 · Over 3.5: 59%
- Most likely scores
- 2-09%
- 3-09%
- 2-18%
- 3-18%
- 4-07%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Celtic
- Power ratings: Celtic +1.14 goals per game (1st of 12 in Premiership), Kilmarnock -0.36 (12th).
- Celtic's attack (2.13 goals per game) meets Kilmarnock's defence (1.75 conceded per game).
- Kilmarnock's attack (1.39) meets Celtic's defence (0.99).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 29% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 2.99 – 0.86 goals: Celtic 80%, draw 13%, Kilmarnock 7%.
Match facts
Last matches · Celtic
- L Sun 1 Nov A Falkirk 0-2
- D Wed 28 Oct H Dundee Utd 2-2
- W Sun 25 Oct A Hibernian 2-1
- L Thu 22 Oct H Celta Vigo 1-2
- W Sun 18 Oct H Heart Of Midlothian 7-1
- L Thu 15 Oct A Benfica 1-4
Last matches · Kilmarnock
- D Sat 31 Oct H ST Johnstone 2-2
- L Wed 28 Oct A Dundee 1-3
- L Sat 24 Oct A Falkirk 0-3
- W Sat 17 Oct H Motherwell 3-2
- L Sat 10 Oct A Rangers 1-3
- D Sat 19 Sept H Heart Of Midlothian 1-1
Last 10 matches
| · | Celtic | Kilmarnock |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.7 | 0.9 |
| Conceded | 1.6 | 1.9 |
| Points per game | 1.30 | 0.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 40% |
Home and away record
| · | Celtic (H) | Kilmarnock (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 1.8 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.00 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 80% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 40% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/12 | Celtic | 12 | +17 | 28 |
| 11/12 | Kilmarnock | 12 | -15 | 9 |
Last meetings
- 2026Kilmarnock 1-5 Celtic
- 2026Kilmarnock 2-3 Celtic
- 2025Celtic 4-0 Kilmarnock
- 2025Kilmarnock 1-2 Celtic
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.