Serie A · Matchday 11 
Cagliari vs Frosinone: prediction, stats and form
Serie A, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Cagliari 34%, the draw 22% and Frosinone 44%, with a predicted score of 1-2. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Cagliari34%Draw22%Frosinone44%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.59 – 1.86
- Double chance
- 12 · 78%1X 56% · X2 66%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%Over 1.5: 85% · Over 3.5: 45%
- Both teams score
- 67%
- Clean sheet
- 16% – 20%Cagliari–Frosinone
- Half-time result
- X · 36%1 29% · 2 35%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 28%1/1 20% · X/2 14%
- Expected corners
- 11.75.8 – 5.9 · Over 9.5: 72%
- Expected cards
- 3.82.2 – 1.6 · Over 3.5: 52%
- Most likely scores
- 1-19%
- 1-29%
- 2-17%
- 2-27%
- 0-16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Frosinone
- Power ratings: Cagliari -0.36 goals per game (16th of 20 in Serie A), Frosinone -0.01 (10th).
- Cagliari's attack (1.11 goals per game) meets Frosinone's defence (1.81 conceded per game).
- Frosinone's attack (1.80) meets Cagliari's defence (1.47).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 13% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.59 – 1.86 goals: Cagliari 34%, draw 22%, Frosinone 44%.
Match facts
Last matches · Cagliari
- L Sun 1 Nov A Lazio 1-2
- L Tue 27 Oct A AS Roma 2-4
- L Sat 24 Oct H Bologna 0-2
- L Mon 19 Oct A Monza 0-4
- D Sun 11 Oct H Juventus 1-1
- W Sat 19 Sept A Udinese 1-0
Last matches · Frosinone
- W Sun 1 Nov H Torino 2-0
- W Thu 29 Oct H Lecce 5-1
- D Sun 25 Oct A Atalanta 4-4
- W Fri 16 Oct H Sassuolo 4-2
- L Sat 10 Oct A Napoli 0-3
- W Sun 20 Sept H Como 2-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Cagliari | Frosinone |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 0.9 | 2.5 |
| Conceded | 1.7 | 1.4 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 2.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 30% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | Cagliari (H) | Frosinone (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.0 | 1.9 |
| Conceded | 1.1 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 1.60 | 1.70 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/20 | Cagliari | 10 | -6 | 13 |
| 6/20 | Frosinone | 10 | +10 | 20 |
Last meetings
- 2025Cagliari 4-1 Frosinone
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.