Caerau (Ely) vs Llantwit Major: prediction, stats and form

Wales · FAW Championship, Friday 23 October. The PreviaXI model gives Caerau (Ely) 70%, the draw 16% and Llantwit Major 14%, with 2-1 the most likely score. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

PreviaXI model

Caerau (Ely)70%Draw16%Llantwit Major14%

Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals (xG): 2.55 – 1.04
Over 2.5 goals: 70%
Both teams score: 59%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.How our model works →

Match facts

Last matches · Caerau (Ely)

W Sat 10 Oct A Aberystwyth Town 1-0
W Fri 2 Oct H Afan Lido 2-0
W Sat 26 Sept A Cardiff Draconians 3-1
W Fri 11 Sept H llanelli AFC 3-0
W Mon 31 Aug H Treowen Stars 3-2
L Fri 28 Aug A Baglan Dragons 1-3

Last matches · Llantwit Major

D Sat 10 Oct H Pontardawe Town 1-1
L Tue 6 Oct A Pontypridd Town 1-4
W Fri 2 Oct A Carmarthen Town 2-1
W Sat 26 Sept H llanelli AFC 2-0
D Sat 12 Sept A Treowen Stars 1-1
L Sat 22 Aug A Aberystwyth Town 1-5

Last 10 matches

	Caerau (Ely)	Llantwit Major
Scored	2.2	0.9
Conceded	1.8	2.4
Points per game	1.90	0.80
Over 2.5 goals	70%	60%
Both teams score	70%	60%
Clean sheets	30%	10%
Failed to score	0%	30%

Home and away record

	Caerau (Ely) (H)	Llantwit Major (A)
Scored	2.2	1.8
Conceded	1.3	2.5
Points per game	2.00	1.40
Over 2.5 goals	60%	90%
Both teams score	50%	80%
Clean sheets	50%	10%
Failed to score	10%	10%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
8/32	Caerau (Ely)	10	+4	19
29/32	Llantwit Major	9	-13	8

Last meetings

2026Llantwit Major 1-4 Caerau (Ely)
2025Caerau (Ely) 0-0 Llantwit Major

Form, records and head-to-head use league and cup results from the last two seasons.

FAW Championship table All model predictions