Premier League · Matchday 10 
Brighton vs Brentford: prediction, stats and form
Premier League, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives Brighton 50%, the draw 25% and Brentford 25%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Brighton50%Draw25%Brentford25%
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.83 – 1.25
- Double chance
- 1X · 75%12 75% · X2 50%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 59%Over 1.5: 82% · Over 3.5: 37%
- Both teams score
- 61%
- Clean sheet
- 29% – 16%Brighton–Brentford
- Half-time result
- X · 39%1 38% · 2 23%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 31%X/1 16% · X/X 14%
- Expected corners
- 9.95.7 – 4.2 · Over 9.5: 53%
- Expected cards
- 4.01.9 – 2.1 · Over 3.5: 56%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 2-110%
- 2-08%
- 1-07%
- 1-27%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Brighton
- Power ratings: Brighton +0.44 goals per game (3rd of 20 in Premier League), Brentford +0.19 (8th).
- Brighton's attack (1.67 goals per game) meets Brentford's defence (1.39 conceded per game).
- Brentford's attack (1.58) meets Brighton's defence (1.23).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.83 – 1.25 goals: Brighton 50%, draw 25%, Brentford 25%.
Match facts
Last matches · Brighton
- W Sat 31 Oct A Manchester City 1-0
- D Wed 28 Oct A Manchester City 2-2
- L Sun 25 Oct A Liverpool 0-2
- D Thu 22 Oct A FK Jablonec 0-0
- W Sun 18 Oct H Crystal Palace 5-0
- W Thu 15 Oct H Kauno Žalgiris 4-0
Last matches · Brentford
- W Sat 31 Oct H Nottingham Forest 2-0
- L Wed 28 Oct A Sunderland 2-3
- D Sun 25 Oct A Hull City 1-1
- L Sat 17 Oct H Liverpool 1-2
- D Sat 10 Oct A Aston Villa 2-2
- W Fri 18 Sept H Chelsea 3-0
Last 10 matches
| · | Brighton | Brentford |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.5 | 1.7 |
| Conceded | 0.6 | 1.3 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 20% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 0% |
Home and away record
| · | Brighton (H) | Brentford (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.9 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 0.5 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 2.50 | 1.10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 90% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 20% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/20 | Brighton | 9 | +17 | 19 |
| 6/20 | Brentford | 9 | +7 | 14 |
Last meetings
- 2026Brentford 0-2 Brighton
- 2025Brighton 2-1 Brentford
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.