France · Ligue 3 · Matchday 13 
Bastia vs Villefranche: prediction, stats and form
France · Ligue 3, Saturday 21 November. The PreviaXI model gives Bastia 46%, the draw 32% and Villefranche 22%. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Bastia46% Draw32% Villefranche22%
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.44 – 0.95
- Double chance
- Home win or draw78%Either team wins 68% · Draw or away win 54%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%Over 1.5: 72% · Over 3.5: 22%
- Both teams score
- 49%
- Clean sheet
- 39% – 24%Bastia–Villefranche
- Half-time result
- X · 46%1 34% · 2 20%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 28%X/X 21% · X/1 16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Bastia
- Expected goals favour Bastia: 1.44 – 0.95.
Main uncertainty: the other two results still add up to 54%, led by a draw at 32%.
Built only from the model numbers above. For information; not a certainty.
Match facts
Last matches · Bastia
- L Sat 7 Nov A Rouen 0-2
- W Sat 31 Oct H Quevilly 2-0
- D Sat 17 Oct A Concarneau 1-1
- D Thu 1 Oct H Orleans 1-1
- L Sat 26 Sept A Gobelins 0-1
- D Thu 17 Sept H Cannes 1-1
Last matches · Villefranche
- W Sat 14 Nov A Cheminots Paray 3-0
- L Sat 7 Nov H Quevilly 0-2
- D Sat 31 Oct A Orleans 1-1
- W Sat 17 Oct H Cannes 2-1
- L Sat 3 Oct A Amiens 0-3
- L Sat 26 Sept H Versailles 1-2
Recent record
| · | Bastia | Villefranche |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 0.9 | 0.9 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 2.1 |
| Points per game | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 30% | 40% |
Home and away record
| · | Bastia (H) | Villefranche (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 0.9 | 1.0 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 2.5 |
| Points per game | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 20% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 40% |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/18 | Bastia | 12 | -4 | 15 |
| 16/18 | Villefranche | 12 | -16 | 8 |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.