Barcelona vs Real Madrid: prediction, stats and form

La Liga, Sunday 25 October. The PreviaXI model gives Barcelona 55%, the draw 21% and Real Madrid 24%, with 2-1 the most likely score. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

PreviaXI model

Barcelona55%Draw21%Real Madrid24%

Most likely score: 2-1
Expected goals (xG): 2.29 – 1.48
Over 2.5 goals: 73%
Both teams score: 70%
Expected corners: 10.55.9 – 4.6 · Over 9.5: 59%
Expected cards: 4.11.8 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 58%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.

Match facts

Last matches · Barcelona

L Tue 20 Oct A Paris Saint Germain 2-4
W Sat 17 Oct A Real Betis 5-2
W Tue 13 Oct A Galatasaray 4-1
W Sat 10 Oct H Getafe 3-0
W Sat 19 Sept A Sevilla 3-1
W Wed 16 Sept H Racing Santander 7-2

Last matches · Real Madrid

W Sun 18 Oct H Sevilla 4-1
W Wed 14 Oct A AS Roma 4-3
W Sat 10 Oct H Villarreal 1-0
L Sun 20 Sept A Atletico Madrid 1-2
W Tue 15 Sept A Elche 3-2
W Sat 12 Sept H Rayo Vallecano 4-1

Last 10 matches

	Barcelona	Real Madrid
Scored	4.3	2.7
Conceded	1.5	1.2
Points per game	2.70	2.40
Over 2.5 goals	100%	80%
Both teams score	80%	70%
Clean sheets	20%	20%
Failed to score	0%	10%

Home and away record

	Barcelona (H)	Real Madrid (A)
Scored	3.2	1.7
Conceded	0.9	1.6
Points per game	2.70	1.60
Over 2.5 goals	60%	50%
Both teams score	50%	60%
Clean sheets	40%	20%
Failed to score	10%	20%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
1/20	Barcelona	9	+30	27
3/20	Real Madrid	9	+14	21

Last meetings

2026Barcelona 2-0 Real Madrid
2025Real Madrid 2-1 Barcelona

Form, records and head-to-head use league and cup results from the last two seasons.

All model predictions →