Eredivisie · Matchday 12 
AZ Alkmaar vs Groningen: prediction, stats and form
Eredivisie, Sunday 8 November. The PreviaXI model gives AZ Alkmaar 53%, the draw 24% and Groningen 23%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
AZ Alkmaar53%Draw24%Groningen23%
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.99 – 1.28
- Double chance
- 1X · 77%12 76% · X2 47%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%Over 1.5: 85% · Over 3.5: 41%
- Both teams score
- 63%
- Clean sheet
- 28% – 14%AZ Alkmaar–Groningen
- Half-time result
- 1 · 41%X 37% · 2 22%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 34%X/1 16% · X/X 13%
- Expected corners
- 10.96.8 – 4.1 · Over 9.5: 65%
- Expected cards
- 3.11.3 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 36%
- Most likely scores
- 1-111%
- 2-110%
- 2-07%
- 1-07%
- 3-16%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards AZ Alkmaar
- Power ratings: AZ Alkmaar +0.58 goals per game (5th of 18 in Eredivisie), Groningen +0.17 (8th).
- AZ Alkmaar's attack (1.86 goals per game) meets Groningen's defence (1.60 conceded per game).
- Groningen's attack (1.77) meets AZ Alkmaar's defence (1.28).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 18% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.99 – 1.28 goals: AZ Alkmaar 53%, draw 24%, Groningen 23%.
Match facts
Last matches · AZ Alkmaar
- L Sat 31 Oct A Ajax 0-1
- L Sun 25 Oct H Twente 0-2
- W Thu 22 Oct A Ararat-Armenia 4-0
- D Sun 18 Oct A Cambuur 2-2
- W Thu 15 Oct H Hapoel Beer Sheva 2-1
- L Sat 10 Oct A Feyenoord 0-2
Last matches · Groningen
- L Sun 1 Nov H Sparta Rotterdam 2-3
- D Sun 25 Oct A NEC Nijmegen 2-2
- L Sun 18 Oct H Ajax 2-5
- W Sun 11 Oct A Excelsior 5-1
- W Fri 18 Sept H PEC Zwolle 3-0
- D Sat 12 Sept A GO Ahead Eagles 1-1
Last 10 matches
| · | AZ Alkmaar | Groningen |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.3 | 2.4 |
| Conceded | 1.2 | 2.3 |
| Points per game | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 90% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 20% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 0% |
Home and away record
| · | AZ Alkmaar (H) | Groningen (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.1 | 1.9 |
| Conceded | 1.3 | 1.7 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 1.50 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 80% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/18 | AZ Alkmaar | 11 | +7 | 20 |
| 8/18 | Groningen | 11 | +2 | 15 |
Last meetings
- 2026Groningen 3-0 AZ Alkmaar
- 2025AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Groningen
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.