Atletico Nacional vs Deportivo Pasto: prediction, stats and form

Colombia · Primera A, Friday 23 October. The PreviaXI model gives Atletico Nacional 73%, the draw 18% and Deportivo Pasto 9%, with 2-0 the most likely score. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

PreviaXI model

Atletico Nacional73%Draw18%Deportivo Pasto9%

Most likely score: 2-0
Expected goals (xG): 2.35 – 0.73
Over 2.5 goals: 60%
Both teams score: 48%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.How our model works →

Match facts

Last matches · Atletico Nacional

L Tue 20 Oct A Cucuta 0-1
W Sat 17 Oct A Chico 4-1
D Thu 8 Oct H Deportes Tolima 0-0
W Thu 1 Oct H Junior 3-1
D Fri 25 Sept H Millonarios 1-1
L Mon 21 Sept A Llaneros 0-2

Last matches · Deportivo Pasto

L Tue 20 Oct H Alianza Valledupar 0-1
D Sun 4 Oct H Fortaleza FC 0-0
L Fri 25 Sept A Chico 0-3
W Sun 20 Sept H Once Caldas 1-0
W Tue 15 Sept A America de Cali 1-0
D Sat 5 Sept A Cucuta 2-2

Last 10 matches

	Atletico Nacional	Deportivo Pasto
Scored	2.0	0.6
Conceded	1.0	1.2
Points per game	2.00	0.90
Over 2.5 goals	50%	30%
Both teams score	60%	30%
Clean sheets	20%	30%
Failed to score	30%	50%

Home and away record

	Atletico Nacional (H)	Deportivo Pasto (A)
Scored	2.3	1.2
Conceded	0.6	1.8
Points per game	2.60	0.90
Over 2.5 goals	50%	50%
Both teams score	60%	50%
Clean sheets	40%	20%
Failed to score	10%	40%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
1/20	Atletico Nacional	38	+41	81
13/20	Deportivo Pasto	34	-9	43

Last meetings

2026Deportivo Pasto 1-2 Atletico Nacional
2025Deportivo Pasto 2-2 Atletico Nacional
2025Atletico Nacional 3-0 Deportivo Pasto

Form, records and head-to-head use league and cup results from the last two seasons.

Primera A table All model predictions