Aston Villa vs Manchester City: prediction, stats and form

Premier League, Saturday 24 October. The PreviaXI model gives Aston Villa 26%, the draw 26% and Manchester City 48%, with 1-2 the most likely score. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

PreviaXI model

Aston Villa26%Draw26%Manchester City48%

Most likely score: 1-2
Expected goals (xG): 1.24 – 1.75
Over 2.5 goals: 57%
Both teams score: 60%
Expected corners: 9.84.2 – 5.6 · Over 9.5: 52%
Expected cards: 4.01.7 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 57%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.

Match facts

Last matches · Aston Villa

W Sat 17 Oct A Newcastle 1-0
W Wed 14 Oct H Fenerbahçe 6-0
D Sat 10 Oct H Brentford 2-2
W Sat 19 Sept A Tottenham 3-2
L Sat 12 Sept H Nottingham Forest 1-2
W Tue 8 Sept A Club Brugge KV 3-2

Last matches · Manchester City

W Tue 20 Oct H AEK Athens FC 5-1
W Sat 17 Oct H Ipswich 3-2
L Wed 14 Oct H Paris Saint Germain 2-4
W Sun 11 Oct A Liverpool 3-0
W Sun 20 Sept H Sunderland 5-3
W Sun 13 Sept A Manchester United 1-0

Last 10 matches

	Aston Villa	Manchester City
Scored	1.7	2.8
Conceded	1.5	1.2
Points per game	1.40	2.70
Over 2.5 goals	70%	70%
Both teams score	50%	60%
Clean sheets	30%	40%
Failed to score	30%	0%

Home and away record

	Aston Villa (H)	Manchester City (A)
Scored	2.8	1.9
Conceded	1.2	0.9
Points per game	1.90	2.10
Over 2.5 goals	80%	50%
Both teams score	50%	40%
Clean sheets	40%	50%
Failed to score	10%	10%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

League position

Pos	Team	P	GD	Pts
12/20	Aston Villa	7	-4	8
1/20	Manchester City	7	+12	21

Last meetings

2026Manchester City 1-2 Aston Villa
2025Aston Villa 1-0 Manchester City

Form, records and head-to-head use league and cup results from the last two seasons.

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