Serie A · Matchday 11 
AS Roma vs Sassuolo: prediction, stats and form
Serie A, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives AS Roma 63%, the draw 19% and Sassuolo 18%, with a predicted score of 2-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
AS Roma63%Draw19%Sassuolo18%
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 2-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 2.12 – 1.00
- Double chance
- 1X · 82%12 81% · X2 37%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%Over 1.5: 81% · Over 3.5: 38%
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Clean sheet
- 37% – 12%AS Roma–Sassuolo
- Half-time result
- 1 · 47%X 36% · 2 17%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 41%X/1 19% · X/X 11%
- Expected corners
- 9.36.4 – 2.9 · Over 9.5: 45%
- Expected cards
- 4.21.9 – 2.3 · Over 3.5: 61%
- Most likely scores
- 2-110%
- 2-010%
- 1-010%
- 1-19%
- 3-17%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards AS Roma
- Power ratings: AS Roma +0.63 goals per game (4th of 20 in Serie A), Sassuolo -0.26 (14th).
- AS Roma's attack (1.76 goals per game) meets Sassuolo's defence (1.52 conceded per game).
- Sassuolo's attack (1.26) meets AS Roma's defence (1.13).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 13% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 2.12 – 1.00 goals: AS Roma 63%, draw 19%, Sassuolo 18%.
Match facts
Last matches · AS Roma
- W Sat 31 Oct A Udinese 5-2
- W Tue 27 Oct H Cagliari 4-2
- D Sat 24 Oct A Napoli 3-3
- W Tue 20 Oct H Slovan Bratislava 4-0
- W Sat 17 Oct H Genoa 2-0
- L Wed 14 Oct H Real Madrid 3-4
Last matches · Sassuolo
- L Tue 27 Oct H Lazio 2-6
- L Sat 24 Oct A Como 0-2
- L Fri 16 Oct A Frosinone 2-4
- D Sun 11 Oct H AC Milan 1-1
- L Fri 18 Sept A Monza 1-2
- W Sun 13 Sept H Juventus 3-2
Last 10 matches
| · | AS Roma | Sassuolo |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.6 | 1.5 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 2.3 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 0.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60% | 70% |
| Both teams score | 60% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 40% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | AS Roma (H) | Sassuolo (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.8 | 0.9 |
| Conceded | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 0.30 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 60% |
| Both teams score | 50% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3/20 | AS Roma | 10 | +18 | 24 |
| 15/20 | Sassuolo | 9 | -8 | 8 |
Last meetings
- 2026AS Roma 2-0 Sassuolo
- 2025Sassuolo 0-1 AS Roma
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.