Premier League · Matchday 10 
Arsenal vs Hull City: prediction, stats and form
Premier League, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives Arsenal 67%, the draw 23% and Hull City 10%, with a predicted score of 1-0. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Arsenal67%Draw23%Hull City10%
Model confidence: Strong
- Predicted score
- 1-0
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.84 – 0.58
- Double chance
- 1X · 90%12 77% · X2 33%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 44%Over 1.5: 71% · Over 3.5: 23%
- Both teams score
- 38%
- Clean sheet
- 56% – 16%Arsenal–Hull City
- Half-time result
- 1 · 47%X 42% · 2 11%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 43%X/1 21% · X/X 16%
- Expected corners
- 10.17.0 – 3.1 · Over 9.5: 55%
- Expected cards
- 4.01.1 – 2.9 · Over 3.5: 57%
- Most likely scores
- 1-015%
- 2-015%
- 1-111%
- 0-010%
- 3-09%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Arsenal
- Power ratings: Arsenal +0.90 goals per game (1st of 20 in Premier League), Hull City -0.25 (17th).
- Arsenal's attack (1.70 goals per game) meets Hull City's defence (1.38 conceded per game).
- Hull City's attack (1.13) meets Arsenal's defence (0.80).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 22% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.84 – 0.58 goals: Arsenal 67%, draw 23%, Hull City 10%.
Match facts
Last matches · Arsenal
- W Sun 1 Nov A Liverpool 1-0
- D Tue 27 Oct A Fleetwood Town 1-1
- W Sat 24 Oct H Everton 2-0
- D Wed 21 Oct A Bayern München 2-2
- W Sun 18 Oct A Nottingham Forest 1-0
- W Tue 13 Oct H Lille 3-0
Last matches · Hull City
- D Sat 31 Oct H Ipswich 2-2
- D Sun 25 Oct H Brentford 1-1
- L Sat 17 Oct A Fulham 0-1
- D Sun 11 Oct H Everton 2-2
- L Sat 19 Sept A Newcastle 1-2
- D Sat 12 Sept A Chelsea 2-2
Last 10 matches
| · | Arsenal | Hull City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| Conceded | 0.9 | 1.2 |
| Points per game | 2.30 | 0.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 40% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 50% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 30% |
Home and away record
| · | Arsenal (H) | Hull City (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.8 | 1.1 |
| Conceded | 0.2 | 1.3 |
| Points per game | 2.80 | 0.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheets | 80% | 20% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 20% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/20 | Arsenal | 9 | +9 | 24 |
| 10/20 | Hull City | 9 | +1 | 11 |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.