France · Ligue 3 · Matchday 13 
Amiens vs Caen: prediction, stats and form
France · Ligue 3, Thursday 19 November. The PreviaXI model gives Amiens 53%, the draw 32% and Caen 15%. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
Amiens53% Draw32% Caen15%
Model confidence: Medium
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.39 – 0.63
- Double chance
- Home win or draw85%Either team wins 68% · Draw or away win 47%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%Over 1.5: 62% · Over 3.5: 15%
- Both teams score
- 46%
- Clean sheet
- 53% – 25%Amiens–Caen
- Half-time result
- X · 49%1 37% · 2 14%
- Half-time / full-time
- 1/1 · 32%X/X 24% · X/1 19%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model leans towards Amiens
- Expected goals favour Amiens: 1.39 – 0.63.
- The model gives Amiens a 53% chance of a clean sheet.
Main uncertainty: the other two results still add up to 47%, led by a draw at 32%.
Built only from the model numbers above. For information; not a certainty.
Match facts
Last matches · Amiens
- W Sat 14 Nov A OM Cambrai 3-0
- W Sat 7 Nov A Aubagne 2-0
- D Thu 29 Oct H Thionville Lusitanos 1-1
- D Sat 17 Oct A Valenciennes 1-1
- W Sat 3 Oct H Villefranche 3-0
- D Sat 26 Sept A Quevilly 1-1
Last matches · Caen
- W Sat 14 Nov A Choisy au Bac 2-0
- W Sat 7 Nov H Versailles 1-0
- D Sat 31 Oct A Le Puy Foot 2-2
- W Thu 15 Oct H La Roche VF 2-1
- L Sat 3 Oct A Fleury 91 2-3
- W Thu 24 Sept H Rouen 3-2
Recent record
| · | Amiens | Caen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 1.9 | 1.6 |
| Conceded | 0.3 | 1.1 |
| Points per game | 2.20 | 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Both teams score | 30% | 40% |
| Clean sheets | 70% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 10% | 20% |
Home and away record
| · | Amiens (H) | Caen (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Matches in sample | 10 | 10 |
| Scored | 1.3 | 1.8 |
| Conceded | 1.4 | 1.5 |
| Points per game | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% | 50% |
| Both teams score | 30% | 50% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 40% |
| Failed to score | 40% | 10% |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5/18 | Amiens | 12 | +11 | 20 |
| 3/18 | Caen | 12 | +7 | 22 |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.