Eredivisie · Matchday 12 
ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: prediction, stats and form
Eredivisie, Saturday 7 November. The PreviaXI model gives ADO Den Haag 34%, the draw 27% and Sparta Rotterdam 39%, with a predicted score of 1-2. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.
PreviaXI model
ADO Den Haag34%Draw27%Sparta Rotterdam39%
Model confidence: Open game
- Predicted score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.45 – 1.55
- Double chance
- 12 · 73%1X 61% · X2 66%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%Over 1.5: 81% · Over 3.5: 35%
- Both teams score
- 61%
- Clean sheet
- 21% – 24%ADO Den Haag–Sparta Rotterdam
- Half-time result
- X · 40%1 29% · 2 31%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 23%1/1 20% · X/X 15%
- Expected corners
- 10.05.4 – 4.6 · Over 9.5: 55%
- Expected cards
- 3.71.7 – 2.0 · Over 3.5: 49%
- Most likely scores
- 1-112%
- 1-29%
- 2-18%
- 0-17%
- 2-26%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Why the model sees a close match
- Power ratings: ADO Den Haag -0.52 goals per game (17th of 18 in Eredivisie), Sparta Rotterdam -0.18 (12th).
- ADO Den Haag's attack (1.26 goals per game) meets Sparta Rotterdam's defence (1.72 conceded per game).
- Sparta Rotterdam's attack (1.54) meets ADO Den Haag's defence (1.78).
- Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 18% more goals.
- Put together, the model expects 1.45 – 1.55 goals: ADO Den Haag 34%, draw 27%, Sparta Rotterdam 39%.
Match facts
Last matches · ADO Den Haag
- L Sun 1 Nov A PEC Zwolle 0-1
- L Sat 24 Oct H Heerenveen 2-3
- W Sat 17 Oct H PSV Eindhoven 2-1
- D Sun 11 Oct A Telstar 2-2
- D Sat 19 Sept H Cambuur 1-1
- L Sat 12 Sept A Twente 0-2
Last matches · Sparta Rotterdam
- W Sun 1 Nov A Groningen 3-2
- L Sun 25 Oct H Ajax 1-2
- W Sat 17 Oct H Willem II 3-2
- D Sat 10 Oct A GO Ahead Eagles 3-3
- L Sat 19 Sept H Heerenveen 0-4
- L Sun 13 Sept A PSV Eindhoven 1-4
Last 10 matches
| · | ADO Den Haag | Sparta Rotterdam |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 1.3 | 2.0 |
| Conceded | 2.2 | 2.5 |
| Points per game | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 100% |
| Both teams score | 80% | 90% |
| Clean sheets | 0% | 0% |
| Failed to score | 20% | 10% |
Home and away record
| · | ADO Den Haag (H) | Sparta Rotterdam (A) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored | 2.3 | 1.3 |
| Conceded | 1.5 | 2.6 |
| Points per game | 1.90 | 0.80 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 90% |
| Both teams score | 70% | 70% |
| Clean sheets | 30% | 10% |
| Failed to score | 0% | 30% |
Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/18 | ADO Den Haag | 11 | -11 | 6 |
| 11/18 | Sparta Rotterdam | 11 | -6 | 12 |
Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.