15:40 Tuesday 27 October Doha time

Abha vs Al-Faisaly FC: prediction, stats and form

Pro League, Tuesday 27 October. The PreviaXI model gives Abha 32%, the draw 32% and Al-Faisaly FC 36%, with a predicted score of 0-1. Below: recent form, home and away records and head-to-head.

Full head-to-head

PreviaXI model

Abha32%Draw32%Al-Faisaly FC36%

Predicted score: 0-1
Expected goals (model): 1.12 – 1.18
Double chance: 12 · 68%1X 64% · X2 68%
Over 2.5 goals: 41%Over 1.5: 69% · Over 3.5: 20%
Both teams score: 49%
Clean sheet: 31% – 33%Abha–Al-Faisaly FC
Half-time result: X · 47%1 26% · 2 27%
Half-time / full-time: X/X · 21%2/2 20% · 1/1 18%
Expected corners: 6.63.8 – 2.8 · Over 9.5: 13%
Expected cards: 3.41.7 – 1.7 · Over 3.5: 44%
Most likely scores: 1-115%
0-012%
0-110%
1-09%
1-28%

Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →

Why the model sees a close match

Power ratings: Abha -0.44 goals per game (16th of 18 in Pro League), Al-Faisaly FC -0.27 (13th).
Abha's attack (1.02 goals per game) meets Al-Faisaly FC's defence (1.57 conceded per game).
Al-Faisaly FC's attack (1.30) meets Abha's defence (1.46).
Home advantage in this competition: home sides score about 12% more goals.
Put together, the model expects 1.12 – 1.18 goals: Abha 32%, draw 32%, Al-Faisaly FC 36%.

Power ratings: Pro League →

Chance to score

Abha

A. Gory2 goals in 7 games23%
Koshaim Al Karani1 goals in 0 games21%
Mohammed Al Dossary1 goals in 4 games19%

Al-Faisaly FC

Alexandre Mendy5 goals in 10 games34%
T. Bongonda3 goals in 8 games23%
C. Bassogog1 goals in 9 games8%

Model estimate: each player’s season goals per minute compared with his team’s, applied to the model’s expected goals for this match and his usual minutes. Players listed as out are left out.

Trends

Abha have not won in their last 12 matches.
Abha are unbeaten in the last 5 meetings with Al-Faisaly FC.
Both teams scored in 6 of Al-Faisaly FC’s last 8 matches.
Abha failed to score in 4 of their last 8 matches.

Season stats

·	Abha		Al-Faisaly FC
·	All	Home	All	Away
Won-drawn-lost	0-2-7	0-1-2	1-4-5	0-2-2
Goals scored per game	0.67	0.67	1.10	1.25
Goals conceded per game	1.89	1.33	2.00	2.25
xG per game	0.74	0.63	1.13	1.05
xG against per game	1.53	1.09	1.78	2.25
Scored in	56%	67%	70%	75%
Clean sheets	11%	0%	20%	25%
Failed to score	44%	33%	30%	25%
Both teams scored	56%	67%	70%	75%
Over 1.5 goals	78%	67%	80%	75%
Over 2.5 goals	56%	33%	60%	75%
Over 3.5 goals	22%	0%	60%	75%
Shots per game	9.0	11.3	9.0	6.8
Shots on target per game	2.9	3.3	3.1	3.0
Shots on target	32%	29%	34%	44%
Possession	45%	52%	48%	48%
Passes per game	377.8	410.7	387.7	385.8
Pass accuracy	81%	–	85%	85%
Corners per game	3.0	3.7	2.6	2.0
Corners against per game	4.2	3.7	4.7	5.5
Cards per game	2.1	2.3	1.8	2.0
Fouls per game	10.7	10.0	9.8	10.8

League matches this season (Pro League). Per-game averages; % = share of matches.

When goals come

Abha

0-150 / 3
16-301 / 3
31-450 / 2
46-600 / 4
61-752 / 1
76-90+5 / 0

Usual formation: 5-4-1

Al-Faisaly FC

0-152 / 3
16-300 / 8
31-452 / 2
46-604 / 3
61-752 / 0
76-90+3 / 2

Usual formation: 4-1-4-1

Goals scored (green) and conceded (orange) by 15-minute period, league matches this season.

Pro League table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts	Recent form
1	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	10	9	0	1	30:9	+21	27	WWWWL
2	Al-Nassr	10	8	1	1	23:8	+15	25	WWWDW
3	Al-Qadisiyah FC	11	8	1	2	26:12	+14	25	LWWWD
4	Al-Ittihad FC	10	7	2	1	20:10	+10	23	WWLWW
5	Al-Ahli Jeddah	10	7	0	3	27:13	+14	21	WWWWL
6	NEOM	11	6	1	4	16:9	+7	19	WLLDW
7	Al-Ettifaq	11	5	3	3	17:16	+1	18	WLWDD
8	Al Diriyah	11	4	3	4	9:11	-2	15	LWDLD
9	Al Kholood	10	3	3	4	14:21	-7	12	LLLLW
10	Al Khaleej Saihat	11	2	6	3	10:17	-7	12	LWWDD
11	Al Riyadh	10	3	3	4	11:19	-8	12	WLDWD
12	Al Shabab	10	2	5	3	14:14	0	11	WDWDL
13	Al-Hazm	11	2	4	5	12:16	-4	10	DLLDL
14	Al-Fayha	11	1	5	5	12:19	-7	8	DLLDD
15	Al-Faisaly FC	10	1	4	5	11:20	-9	7	LDWLD
16	Al-Fateh	11	1	3	7	10:23	-13	6	LLWLL
17	Al Taawon	11	0	4	7	5:19	-14	4	LLDLL
18	Abha	9	0	2	7	6:17	-11	2	LLDLL

Next matches

Abha

Fri 30 OctAbha – Al-Ittihad FCPro League
Thu 5 NovAbha – Al ShababPro League
Fri 20 NovAl Taawon – AbhaPro League

Al-Faisaly FC

Sat 31 OctAl-Fayha – Al-Faisaly FCPro League
Thu 5 NovAl-Faisaly FC – Al DiriyahPro League
Fri 20 NovAl-Ahli Jeddah – Al-Faisaly FCPro League

Head-to-head: last 10 meetings

Abha 3 wins · 3 draws · Al-Faisaly FC 4 wins

21/01/2026Al-Faisaly FC0-2AbhaDivision 1
11/09/2025Abha2-2Al-Faisaly FCDivision 1
18/02/2025Al-Faisaly FC2-2AbhaDivision 1
01/10/2024Abha3-1Al-Faisaly FCDivision 1
06/05/2022Abha0-0Al-Faisaly FCPro League
04/11/2021Al-Faisaly FC1-0AbhaPro League
14/05/2021Al-Faisaly FC2-1AbhaPro League
07/01/2021Abha1-0Al-Faisaly FCPro League
09/09/2020Al-Faisaly FC2-1AbhaPro League
25/01/2020Abha0-1Al-Faisaly FCPro League

Match facts

Last matches · Abha

L Sat 24 Oct A NEOM 0-2
L Fri 16 Oct A Al-Qadisiyah FC 1-2
D Sun 13 Sept A Al Diriyah 0-0
L Wed 9 Sept A Al-Nassr 1-2
L Fri 4 Sept H Al-Ettifaq 0-1
L Fri 28 Aug A Al-Fayha 2-3

Last matches · Al-Faisaly FC

L Fri 23 Oct H Al-Nassr 1-3
D Mon 19 Oct A Al Shabab 2-2
W Thu 15 Oct H Al Kholood 3-2
L Fri 11 Sept H Al-Ittihad FC 1-3
D Tue 8 Sept A Al-Ettifaq 0-0
D Sat 5 Sept H Al-Hazm 0-0

Last 10 matches

·	Abha	Al-Faisaly FC
Scored	0.7	1.1
Conceded	2.2	2.0
Points per game	0.20	0.70
Over 2.5 goals	60%	60%
Both teams score	60%	70%
Clean sheets	10%	20%
Failed to score	40%	30%

Home and away record

·	Abha (H)	Al-Faisaly FC (A)
Scored	1.3	2.3
Conceded	0.8	1.3
Points per game	1.70	2.00
Over 2.5 goals	30%	70%
Both teams score	50%	60%
Clean sheets	30%	40%
Failed to score	20%	10%

Home team: last 10 home games. Away team: last 10 away games.

Form, records and head-to-head come from our model data: this competition's matches over the last two seasons (plus the teams' league games for cup and European ties), so some cup matches may be missing.

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