Grenada 3–2 St. Kitts and Nevis

A chance to answer the latest defeat

St. Kitts and Nevis beat Grenada 3-0 in September’s CONCACAF Nations League meeting, giving the upcoming rematch an immediate edge: Grenada must show they can respond, while the visitors will look to carry that authority into another fixture in Havana.

The recent result is particularly striking against the longer record between the teams. Across their last five meetings, Grenada have three wins, St. Kitts and Nevis one, and one match has been drawn. The latest result, however, belongs to St. Kitts and Nevis—and the contrast between that 3-0 win and the broader history makes this a useful test of whether the balance is shifting.

Contrasting competition runs

In the four matches each side has played in this CONCACAF Nations League competition, Grenada have won once and lost three times, scoring four goals and conceding 12. Their two home matches have both ended in defeat, with one goal scored and seven conceded.

St. Kitts and Nevis have taken a steadier route: two wins followed by two draws, leaving them unbeaten in four. They have scored 10 and conceded six in those four competition matches. Away from home in the tournament, they have a win and a draw, with four goals scored and three conceded.

Those figures apply to this competition’s four matches, not to either team’s overall season form. Still, they reinforce the challenge Grenada face: the hosts have struggled to keep opponents out, while St. Kitts and Nevis have found the net more regularly.

The wider rivalry still favours Grenada

The 3-0 result was the only one of the last five meetings to feature more than two goals. Grenada had won the previous meeting, a 3-2 World Cup qualifying match in June 2025, and also took the 2019 home encounter 2-1. The series has included a goalless draw, as well as a 9-1 Grenada win in a 2017 friendly.

So the latest result is a clear warning, but not a complete rewrite of the rivalry. Grenada have had the better of the five-match tally; St. Kitts and Nevis now have the freshest evidence in their favour.

The visitors have the edge

PreviaXI’s model favours St. Kitts and Nevis, whose stronger scoring record in this competition and unbeaten run point to a better platform. Grenada’s past success in the matchup gives them a route to make this closer, but the visitors have the stronger current case.

Our prediction

St. Kitts and Nevis look likelier to control the attacking exchanges, though Grenada’s history in this matchup makes a home response plausible. The visitors have the edge, but will need to manage the threat of a Grenada side seeking to overturn the latest result.