Denmark seek a response after Norway’s Nations League win
Norway beat Denmark 3-2 in the sides’ most recent meeting, in the Nations League in September. Denmark are three points above Norway in the group, making this a significant clash in the final round.
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What is at stake
Denmark sit second in League A - Group D on nine points after five matches, three points and one place above third-placed Norway. The standings make this a consequential final-round meeting, although the available facts do not establish what a result would mean for qualification.
Goals have featured in recent meetings
The most recent meeting came in the Nations League in September, when Norway beat Denmark 3-2. The last two meetings produced one win apiece and no draws, and neither had two goals or fewer. That history points to the potential for another open contest, though it does not guarantee one.
Our prediction
Norway’s recent win gives them a reason to believe they can trouble Denmark again, but Denmark’s three-point advantage in the group underlines their position ahead of this fixture. A Denmark win or draw looks more likely, while Norway’s latest head-to-head victory leaves a credible alternative.
View model probabilities in the fixture table
Understand the analysis
Worked examples, uncertainty and the difference between a likely result and an exact score.
Match facts
Recent form
Denmark
- W A Portugal 4-1
- W A Wales 1-0
- L H Portugal 2-4
- W H Wales 2-0
- L A Norway 2-3
Norway
- W H Wales 3-1
- L A Portugal 1-2
- L A Wales 1-2
- L H Portugal 1-2
- W H Denmark 3-2
Completed matches in our provider’s data, newest first. The listed team’s goals appear first in each score.
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Denmark | 5 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Norway | 5 | 0 | 6 |
Last meetings
- 2026 Norway 3-2 Denmark
- 2024 Denmark 3-1 Norway
- 2020 Denmark None-None Norway

