Our pick Away win
Cray Wanderers vs Stockport County: FA Cup progress on the line
Cray Wanderers bring a seven-match unbeaten FA Cup run into a tie against a Stockport County side second in League One. Progress would be a notable reward for the hosts and an expected step forward for the visitors.
📍 Flamingo Park
Preview written:
Match report
After extra time: Cray Wanderers 2-3 Stockport County.
Match statistics (home team first). Shots: 15–16; Shots on target: 3–6; Corners: 4–7.
Goals
- 21' Sammie McLeod · Ola Ogunwamide · Cray Wanderers
- 36' Alex Hernandez · Cray Wanderers
- 81' Kyle Wootton · Josh Cogley · Stockport County
- 90+1' Mikael Mandron · Stockport County
- 101' Lewis Fiorini (pen.) · Stockport County
Cards
- 31' Luca·Ashby-Hammond · Stockport County
- 50' Eoghan O'Connell · Stockport County
- 51' Ethan Pye · Stockport County
- 69' Alex Hernandez · Cray Wanderers
Match stats
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Cray Wanderers · 4-4-2
- 1Jj BriggsG
- 23John UfuahD
- 6Robert StrachanD
- 18Bayli Spencer AdamsD
- 2C. LemaD
- 11Ola OgunwamideM
- 8Frankie RaymondM
- 16S. McLeodM
- 3F MorganM
- 10Rashid YussuffF
- 9Alex HernandezF
Stockport County · 3-4-3
- 26L. Ashby-HammondG
- 2J. Dacres-CogleyD
- 6E. O'ConnellD
- 12T. Wilson-BrownD
- 28C. GardnerM
- 18L. FioriniM
- 20J. AdigunM
- 14T. EdunM
- 9B. AndréssonF
- 22M. MandronF
- 16H. WoodF
Coach: J. McNulty
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Cray Wanderers | 1.6 | 0.7 |
| Stockport County | 0.0 | 0.0 |
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.07 – 1.19
- Double chance
- 12 · 70%1X 62% · X2 68%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 39%Over 1.5: 67% · Over 3.5: 19%
- Both teams score
- 46%
- Clean sheet
- 30% – 34%Cray Wanderers–Stockport County
- Half-time result
- X · 46%1 25% · 2 29%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 22%X/X 20% · 1/1 18%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Different league worlds, one knockout tie
Cray Wanderers are 18th in the Non League Premier - Isthmian with 15 points from 10 matches, while Stockport County sit second in League One with 26 points from 14. Those positions belong to separate competitions, but they underline the scale of the challenge facing the hosts in this FA Cup first-round tie.
The prize is a place in the next round. For Cray, advancing would extend a remarkable cup run and offer a significant moment against a club from a higher division. Stockport, meanwhile, will be expected to make their league standing count and avoid an upset that would end their cup journey here.
Recent results offer contrasting signals
Both teams come into the tie after a league win. Cray’s last five league matches have brought two wins, a draw and two defeats; Stockport have recorded three wins, a draw and a defeat over their last five.
Cray’s FA Cup form is especially striking: they are unbeaten in seven matches in this competition, with three wins and four draws. They have scored 11 goals and conceded five across those ties, keeping four clean sheets. At home in the cup, they have two wins and two draws from four matches, with seven goals scored and three conceded.
Their current run is two consecutive draws, and their latest FA Cup match also finished level. The hosts have shown an ability to stay in games, though Stockport’s stronger position in League One points to the quality of the task.
Cray’s cup record sets the challenge
The recent sequence of Cray’s seven FA Cup matches has included three draws, with two wins in between and two more draws to follow. In their last five cup matches, they have scored eight goals and conceded three. That defensive record, alongside two home clean sheets in the competition, gives them a platform to try to frustrate the visitors.
Stockport have yet to play in this FA Cup campaign, so this is their first opportunity to build a run in the competition.
Our prediction
Cray’s unbeaten cup record and home resilience should make this a competitive tie, but Stockport’s second-place standing in League One gives them the stronger overall footing. The statistical model also leans narrowly towards the visitors, with a close, low-scoring contest the likeliest shape.
Cray Wanderers 0-1 Stockport County

