Bonaire 1–7 Cuba

Context & stakes: contrasting campaigns

Cuba travel to Havana unbeaten in four CONCACAF Nations League matches, with two wins and two draws behind them. Bonaire, by contrast, have one win and three defeats in the competition. The key contrast is clear: Cuba have combined a reliable run of results with a stronger defensive record, while Bonaire have shown they can score but have struggled to keep goals out.

These figures cover four matches in this competition only, not either team’s broader season form. Bonaire have scored seven and conceded eight; Cuba have scored 10 and conceded five. The sides meet at Estadio La Polar as League B’s third round continues.

Form: Cuba’s balance against Bonaire’s vulnerability

Bonaire’s most recent Nations League match was a win, following three defeats. They have scored in the competition but are yet to keep a clean sheet, and their two home matches have both ended in defeat, with five goals conceded.

Cuba’s latest outing was a draw, extending a run of two consecutive draws and keeping them unbeaten in four. They have scored 10 goals and conceded five in the competition, with two clean sheets. Away from home, Cuba have taken a win and a draw across two matches, scoring six times and conceding three.

Head-to-head: Cuba have the recent edge

Cuba won the teams’ most recent meeting, 2-0 in September in the Nations League. They have won the only listed meeting, with no draw and no Bonaire victory.

Our prediction

Cuba have the stronger case: their unbeaten run, greater scoring return and better defensive record contrast with Bonaire’s difficulty keeping opponents out. PreviaXI’s model favours an away win, although Bonaire’s latest victory means Cuba should not take the challenge lightly; a more open game remains possible.