Stars League · Matchday 7 
Al-Gharafa vs Al Ahli Doha: five meetings, nineteen goals and a rivalry that keeps swinging
Nineteen goals in the last five meetings point to an open, unpredictable contest. Al-Gharafa and Al Ahli Doha meet in Doha with both sides looking to climb a congested table.
📍 Al Gharafa Stadium
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| Scored | Conceded | |
|---|---|---|
| Al-Gharafa | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| Al Ahli Doha | 1.7 | 2.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Al Ahli Doha | 6 | -2 | 7 |
| 10 | Al-Gharafa | 6 | -5 | 5 |
Last meetings
- 2026Al-Gharafa1-4Al Ahli Doha
- 2025Al Ahli Doha1-3Al-Gharafa
- 2025Al-Gharafa2-0Al Ahli Doha
- 2024Al Ahli Doha1-0Al-Gharafa
- 2024Al-Gharafa4-3Al Ahli Doha
PreviaXI model
- Most likely score
- 1-2
- Expected goals (xG)
- 1.64 – 1.64
- Over 2.5 goals
- 64%
- Both teams score
- 66%
- Expected corners
- 4.2 – 4.2Total8.4
- Expected cards
- 2.1 – 2.3Total4.4
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only.
Nineteen goals in the last five meetings between Al-Gharafa and Al Ahli Doha, almost four a game, suggest this is a fixture that rarely settles quietly.
Two sides looking up the table
Al Ahli Doha sit seventh in the 12-team Stars League with seven points from six matches. Al-Gharafa are tenth on five points, with a goal difference of minus five. Neither side is out of the picture this early, but both need a run of results to lift themselves clear of the bottom of the table.
Form: Ahli’s steadier hand
Al-Gharafa have won once in six league outings and have conceded eleven goals. Their home record reads one win, two draws and one defeat, and only two of their matches have ended without a goal against them. Over their last five games they have scored four and conceded ten. Half of their six league goals this season have arrived between the 46th and 60th minutes, a sign they tend to come out of the dressing room sharper.
Al Ahli have been the more productive side, with ten goals this season against Al-Gharafa’s six. They have nine goals for and nine against in their last five, a more balanced return that has kept them ahead in the standings.
Head-to-head: a rivalry that swings
Three of the last five meetings went Al-Gharafa’s way: a 2-0 win in January 2025, a 3-1 victory away at Al Ahli in October 2025 and a 4-3 win in the Emir Cup in May 2024. Al Ahli took the other two, a 1-0 win in August 2024 and the most recent meeting, a 4-1 win in March. That March result is the one that will weigh on Al-Gharafa’s minds, because it showed how quickly this fixture can run away from a side.
Our prediction
PreviaXI’s model favours the visitors, and the pattern of these meetings supports that lean. Al Ahli have the more potent attack and the sharper recent record in this fixture, while Al-Gharafa’s defence has been leaking goals, conceding ten in their last five. Expect an open, end-to-end game in which both sides find the net, with Al Ahli Doha edging it.
Al-Gharafa 1-2 Al Ahli Doha