Abha seek a lift in the standings against in-form Al Shabab
Abha have the chance to make progress from the bottom of the table, but face an Al Shabab side unbeaten in five league matches. The visitors arrive on a two-game winning run.
📍 Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium
Preview written:
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Abha | 0.6 | 1.7 |
| Al Shabab | 1.8 | 1.4 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Al Shabab | 11 | +5 | 14 |
| 18 | Abha | 11 | -12 | 3 |
Last meetings
- 2025 Abha 1-1 Al Shabab
- 2024 Al Shabab 5-0 Abha
- 2023 Abha 2-1 Al Shabab
- 2023 Al Shabab 2-0 Abha
- 2022 Abha 0-4 Al Shabab
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Open game
- Expected goals (model)
- 1.07 – 1.41
- Double chance
- X2 · 73%1X 57% · 12 70%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 45%Over 1.5: 73% · Over 3.5: 24%
- Both teams score
- 51%
- Clean sheet
- 25% – 34%Abha–Al Shabab
- Half-time result
- X · 45%1 23% · 2 32%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 26%X/X 19% · 1/1 15%
- Expected corners
- 9.95.2 – 4.7 · Over 9.5: 53%
- Expected cards
- 3.92.1 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 54%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
A climb to chase
Abha need a result to begin climbing the Pro League standings when they face Al Shabab in Khamis Mushait: they sit 18th of 18 on three points after 11 matches, while Al Shabab are 10th on 14. The gap is eleven points, and the home side’s task is sharpened by a run of 11 league matches without a win.
Abha have drawn three and lost eight of their 11 league games, scoring seven goals and conceding 19. At home, they have two draws and three defeats from five matches, with three goals scored and six conceded. Al Shabab’s overall record is more balanced: three wins, five draws and three defeats, with 20 goals for and 15 against.
Contrasting recent runs
Abha’s last five league matches brought two draws and three defeats, with only two goals scored and six conceded. Their most recent league outing ended in a draw, offering a point but no break in the winless sequence.
Al Shabab have the stronger recent momentum. They are unbeaten in five league games and have won their last two; across their latest five, they recorded three wins and two draws, scoring 14 goals and conceding four. Away from home, their league record stands at one win, two draws and one defeat in four matches.
Recent meetings favour Al Shabab
Across the last five meetings in all competitions, Al Shabab have won three, Abha have won once and one match was drawn. The most recent encounter, in the King’s Cup in September 2025, finished 1-1. Two of those five meetings featured two goals or fewer.
The attacking contrast
Abha’s challenge is to turn their home ground into a platform for a standings climb, despite scoring just three times in five home league matches. Al Shabab have scored 14 goals across their last five league games, giving them a clear attacking edge in recent form.
The visitors have also taken points in three of their four away league matches. Abha’s recent draw and the latest head-to-head stalemate offer some encouragement, but the home side will need a sharper display in front of goal to halt their winless run.
Our prediction
Al Shabab’s stronger scoring form and five-match unbeaten run make them the more convincing choice, even with Abha playing at home. PreviaXI’s model leans towards a narrow away victory, with the visitors’ recent attacking output the key reason.
Abha 0-1 Al Shabab

