Pro League · Matchday 12 
Our pick0–1Missed
Abha's fight for survival against in-form Al-Ittihad
Abha sit bottom of the Pro League and need points to climb out of the relegation zone, while Al-Ittihad arrive in strong form and will be favourites in Khamis Mushait.
📍 Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium
Preview written:
All Matchday 12 matchesFull head-to-head
Match report
Al-Ittihad FC took the lead in the 52nd minute through Houssem Aouar, but Abha earned a 1-1 draw with a goal from Faisal Al-Subiani in the 87th minute. Neither side added to the score in the closing minutes, leaving the points shared.
Al-Ittihad FC had more possession, 62% to Abha’s 38%, and led 10-7 in total shots. Abha, however, recorded five shots on target to the visitors’ three. Abha’s Faisal Al Subiani was the top-rated player, with a rating of 8.1. The 1-1 result differed from the pre-match model’s predicted 0-1, which gave Al-Ittihad FC a 53% chance of winning, a draw 27%, and Abha a 20% chance.
Goals
- 52'Houssem Aouar · Al-Ittihad FC
- 87'Faisal Al-Subiani · Abha
Cards
- 25'Loreintz Rosier · Abha
- 49'Mohammed Al-Dosari · Abha
- 90+4'Nasser Al Daajani · Abha
- 90+3'Kamil Boumedmed · Abha
Match stats
⭐ Top-rated player: Faisal Al Subiani (Abha) 8.1
Ratings and statistics: API-Football.
Confirmed lineups
Abha · 4-4-1-1
- 16D. LéonG
- 23Mohammed Al DossaryD
- 3J. GaariD
- 19Abdullah Al FahadD
- 39M. Al-ZaidD
- 11A. GoryM
- 32L. RosierM
- 7Firas Al-GhamdiM
- 17Abdulkarim DarisiM
- 8Nasser Al-DaajaniM
- 20Koshaim Al KaraniF
Coach: D. Burić
Al-Ittihad FC · 4-2-3-1
- 1P. RajkovićG
- 13Muhannad Al ShanqitiD
- 6Saad Al MosaD
- 2Danilo PereiraD
- 25F. AbdiD
- 5R. RiosM
- 8Mukhtar AliM
- 23G. WijnaldumM
- 10H. AouarM
- 34S. BergwijnM
- 21Y. En-NesyriF
Coach: Jens Wissing
Match facts
Recent form
Last 5 league games, latest on the right
Goals per game
| · | Scored | Conceded |
|---|---|---|
| Abha | 0.6 | 1.8 |
| Al-Ittihad FC | 2.0 | 1.0 |
League position
| Pos | Team | P | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | +10 | 23 |
| 18 | Abha | 10 | -12 | 2 |
Last meetings
- 2024Abha3-1Al-Ittihad FC
- 2023Al-Ittihad FC4-2Abha
- 2023Al-Ittihad FC4-0Abha
- 2022Abha1-2Al-Ittihad FC
- 2022Abha0-4Al-Ittihad FC
PreviaXI model
Model confidence: Medium
- Predicted score
- 0-1
- Expected goals (model)
- 0.98 – 1.69
- Double chance
- X2 · 80%1X 47% · 12 73%
- Over 2.5 goals
- 50%Over 1.5: 76% · Over 3.5: 28%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Clean sheet
- 18% – 38%Abha–Al-Ittihad FC
- Half-time result
- X · 42%1 19% · 2 39%
- Half-time / full-time
- 2/2 · 33%X/X 17% · X/2 17%
- Expected corners
- 9.34.4 – 4.9 · Over 9.5: 45%
- Expected cards
- 3.61.8 – 1.8 · Over 3.5: 49%
- Most likely scores
- 1-113%
- 0-110%
- 0-210%
- 1-210%
- 0-09%
Statistical model based on expected goals (xG), results and match statistics from the last two seasons. For information only. How our model works →
Relegation alarm for the hosts
Abha go into this Pro League fixture rooted to the bottom of the table. After ten matches they have just two points and a goal difference of -12, leaving them 18th in an 18-team league. With only four home matches played so far and no wins at all this season, the pressure is on the hosts to begin picking up points if they are to escape relegation trouble.
Momentum contrast
The recent form lines paint a clear picture: Abha have struggled all season and have won none of their ten league games (season form LLDLLLDLLL). Their last five matches show a very low attacking return — two goals in five — while conceding seven. By contrast Al-Ittihad arrive on an excellent run. They sit fourth in the table with 23 points from ten matches and have been winning regularly (season form DWWDWWWLWW). Their recent five-game return includes 13 goals scored and a far healthier defensive record.
Past meetings suggest an uphill task
Recent head-to-head results favour Al-Ittihad. In the last five Pro League encounters between the sides, Abha’s only win came in May 2024 (3-1 at home). The other four meetings produced comfortable victories for Al-Ittihad, including 4-2 and 4-0 scorelines when the clubs met in 2023. That history underlines how difficult a task this is for Abha.
What the numbers say
Abha’s scoring profile at home is worrying: just two goals across four home fixtures, and no clean sheets recorded at the Prince Sultan bin Abdulaziz Sports City Stadium this season. Defensively they are leaking goals at a rate above one per game. Al-Ittihad, meanwhile, average two goals per match and have been consistent both home and away, collecting seven wins from ten matches.
PreviaXI’s model favours the visitors and projects a narrow away victory, reflecting Al-Ittihad’s superior chance creation and Abha’s low expected goals.
Our prediction
Al-Ittihad’s attacking consistency and Abha’s struggles to score at home point to a tight game where the visitors edge it. Expect Al-Ittihad to control the tempo and take a narrow lead that the hosts will find hard to overturn given their current form and league position.
Abha 0-1 Al-Ittihad FC
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